Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Arsenal - Atlético Madrid
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Arsenal - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Arsenal
60.3%
Draw
23.2%
Atlético Madrid
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 23.3% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 22.2% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Arsenal - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.59)
    4.15
    (4.1)
    5.88
    (5.77)
    3.4%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Arsenal - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arsenal is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlético is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Arsenal is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Arsenal
    04.10.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 2:0
    28.09.2025 Newcastle United - Arsenal 1:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    21.09.2025 Arsenal - Manchester City 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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