Arsenal LFC vs Manchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Emirates Stadium (London).

: Women’s Super League - Round 22
Referee: Burgin M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	1.61
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
83% (335/404)	71% (239/339)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	1.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.99	1.72
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
14	5
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
33	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	6
Free Kicks
17	13
Passes
83% (335/404)	71% (239/339)
Long passes
47% (22/47)	27% (13/49)
Passes in final third
84% (123/147)	62% (56/91)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.18	0.74
Throw-ins
19	18
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
55% (6/11)	47% (8/17)
Duels won
50	60
Clearances
23	22
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.72	2.99
Goals prevented
-1.28	-1.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Kelly C. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Toone E. ⚽, Le Tissier M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Sandberg A. ↓, Terland E. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Caldentey M. (Pen),
56', 3 - 1, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ⚽, McCabe K. (A),
62', 4 - 1, Little K. ⚽, Kelly C. (A),
71', 4 - 2, Terland E. ⚽,
71', Toone E. ↓, Naalsund L. ↑,
72', Kelly C. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
72', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↓, Walti L. ↑,
76', 4 - 3, Le Tissier M. (Pen),
79', Miyazawa H. 🟨,
82', Walti L. 🟨,
89', Caldentey M. ↓, Blackstenius S. ↑,
89', McCabe K. ↓, Wubben-Moy C. ↑,
89', Miyazawa H. ↓, Awujo S. ↑,
90+5', Mead B. 🟨,
90+7', Fox E. ↓, Codina L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Arsenal LFC
62.3%

Draw
21.1%

Manchester United
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

22.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Arsenal LFC - Manchester United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	4.3 ↑ (3.98)	5.57 ↑ (5.51)	8.5% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Arsenal LFC - Manchester United?

The most likely score is 2:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification: )).
Arsenal LFC is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification )
Man Utd is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Arsenal LFC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Arsenal LFC is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal LFC won against Manchester United?

Arsenal LFC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Arsenal LFC?

Manchester United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal LFC - Manchester United were as follows:

03.11.2024 Manchester United - Arsenal LFC 1:1

17.02.2024 Arsenal LFC - Manchester United 3:1

06.10.2023 Manchester United - Arsenal LFC 2:2

19.04.2023 Manchester United - Arsenal LFC 1:0

19.11.2022 Arsenal LFC - Manchester United 2:3

Latest results of Arsenal LFC

05.05.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal LFC 4:2 ✺

30.04.2025 Aston Villa - Arsenal LFC 5:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Lyon - Arsenal LFC 1:4 ✺

19.04.2025 Arsenal LFC - Lyon 1:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Arsenal LFC - Leicester City 5:1 ✺

Latest results of Manchester United

04.05.2025 Manchester United - Manchester City 2:2 ✺

30.04.2025 Manchester United - Chelsea 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 West Ham - Manchester United 0:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Manchester City - Manchester United 0:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Manchester United - Everton 2:0 ✺

English WSL Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelsea W ✔	22	19	3	0	56:13	43	60
2	Arsenal W ✔	22	15	3	4	62:26	36	48
3	Manchester Utd W ✔	22	13	5	4	41:16	25	44
4	Manchester City W	22	13	4	5	49:28	21	43
5	Brighton W	22	8	4	10	35:41	-6	28
6	Aston Villa W	22	7	4	11	32:44	-12	25
7	Liverpool W	22	7	4	11	22:37	-15	25
8	Everton W	22	6	6	10	24:32	-8	24
9	West Ham W	22	6	5	11	36:41	-5	23
10	Leicester W	22	5	5	12	21:37	-16	20
11	Tottenham W	22	5	5	12	26:44	-18	20
12	Crystal Palace W ✔	22	2	4	16	20:65	-45	10

      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Womenu2019s Championship

Clinched Spots for Teams

Chelsea W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (Group Stage )
Arsenal W is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification )
Manchester Utd W is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification )
Crystal Palace W is Relegated to Womenu2019s Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal LFC - Manchester United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
Canada	Sportsnet+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+