Arsenal LFC vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Women Arsenal LFC - Barcelona
Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League Women - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Martincic I. (Cro)
Arsenal LFC - Barcelona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.98
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
820
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
212
Passes
79% (216/272)88% (492/557)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.61
Total shots
820
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
110
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
212
Touches in opposition box
1638
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
104
Passes
79% (216/272)88% (492/557)
Long passes
49% (31/63)70% (26/37)
Passes in final third
64% (44/69)80% (167/208)
Crosses
43% (3/7)11% (4/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.20
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
410
Tackles
43% (6/14)45% (10/22)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
4710
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.610.96
Goals prevented
0.61-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Paredes I. 🟨,
  • 62', Pina C. , Paralluelo S. ,
  • 65', Kelly C. 🟨,
  • 67', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. , Blackstenius S. ,
  • 68', Kelly C. , Mead B. ,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Blackstenius S. , Mead B. (A),
  • 78', Rolfo F. , Brugts E. ,
  • 78', Leon M. , Engen I. ,
  • 86', Foord C. , Hurtig L. ,
  • 88', Paralluelo S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Russo A. , Wubben-Moy C. ,

Chances of winning


Arsenal LFC
9%
Draw
14.2%
Barcelona
76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.2% 17.9% 69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 17.3% 72.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Arsenal LFC - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.46
    (7.63)
    6.55
    (5.2)
    1.22
    (1.34)
    7%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Arsenal LFC - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Barcelona will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estádio José Alvalade.
    • Arsenal LFC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barcelona is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Arsenal LFC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Barcelona is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 1:4.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).
    Latest results of Arsenal LFC
    Latest results of Barcelona
    11.05.2025 Betis - Barcelona 0:9
    27.04.2025 Chelsea - Barcelona 1:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Real Madrid WArsenal W0 : 3, 2 : 0
    2Bayern Munich WLyon W1 : 4, 0 : 2
    3Wolfsburg WBarcelona W1 : 6, 1 : 4
    4Manchester City WChelsea W0 : 3, 2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Arsenal WLyon W4 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Barcelona WChelsea W4 : 1, 4 : 1

    Final
    1Arsenal WBarcelona W1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal LFC - Barcelona?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaFox Sports MORE, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    franceFranceDAZN France, Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
    germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoMAX, TNT Sports
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    norwayNorwayVG+
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    spainSpain3Cat, DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max, M+ Ellas V, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar Plus+, RTVE Play, TV3, TV3, TVE La 1
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, SVT 2, SVT Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanDAZN
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, DAZN 1 UK, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
    usaUsaDAZN USA
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