Arroyo vs Llerenense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Arroyo - Llerenense
Result
1:5
09/02/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21
Arroyo - Llerenense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Alvarez I. (Pen),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Cordero A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 53', 1 - 3, Sanchez R. ,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Calvo Tardio J. A. ,
  • 78', 1 - 5, Sanchez V. ,

Chances of winning


Arroyo
16.3%
Draw
25.6%
Llerenense
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.6% 22.7% 62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1% 22% 64.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arroyo - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.59
    (6.23)
    3.57
    (4)
    1.57
    (1.45)
    9.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1.
    • Arroyo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Llerenense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Arroyo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Llerenense is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arroyo - Llerenense were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Llerenense - Arroyo 1:0
    05.02.2023 Llerenense - Arroyo 1:0
    02.10.2022 Arroyo - Llerenense 0:0
    Latest results of Arroyo
    02.02.2025 Olivenza - Arroyo 1:1
    26.01.2025 Arroyo - Jerez 0:1
    19.01.2025 Santa Amalia - Arroyo 1:0
    12.01.2025 Calamonte - Arroyo 0:1
    22.12.2024 Arroyo - Montijo 1:2
    Latest results of Llerenense
    01.02.2025 Llerenense - Badajoz 1:0
    26.01.2025 Llerenense - Olivenza 3:0
    19.01.2025 Jerez - Llerenense 2:1
    12.01.2025 Santa Amalia - Llerenense 0:1
    21.12.2024 Llerenense - Calamonte 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Villanovense33006:339
    2Villafranca32106:337
    3Don Benito32017:346
    4Jaraiz32015:146
    5Llerenense32015:326
    6Santa Amalia32013:126
    7Puebla32013:216
    8Azuaga21104:224
    9Montijo31114:314
    10Moralo30307:703
    11Diocesano30305:503
    12Gevora31023:6-33
    13CD Calamonte30213:4-12
    14Cabeza del Buey30213:4-12
    15Jerez CF30212:4-22
    16Montehermoso30121:5-41
    17CD Badajoz20020:2-20
    18Pueblonuevo30032:11-90

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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