Arouca vs Famalicão: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Arouca - Famalicão
Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 28
  • Referee: Neves G. (Por)
Arouca - Famalicão - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.210.98
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
81% (328/405)74% (209/283)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
3.210.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.601.25
Total shots
156
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1812
Through passes
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
81% (328/405)74% (209/283)
Long passes
57% (34/60)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
57% (57/100)58% (44/76)
Crosses
21% (4/19)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.20
Fouls
1716
Tackles
65% (11/17)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5946
Clearances Total
1939
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.252.60
Goals prevented
-0.751.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Mihaj E. 🟨,
  • 20', Jason (Pen),
  • 29', Pinheiro R. 🟨,
  • 33', Lamba C. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Aranda O. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', De Amorim M. , Topic M. ,
  • 54', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
  • 64', Rafa Soares 🟨,
  • 66', Puche , Mansilla B. ,
  • 66', Fukui T. , Sylla M. ,
  • 68', Aranda O. , Gil Dias ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Araujo H. (Pen),
  • 76', 1 - 2, Topic M. , Sa G. (A),
  • 82', Yalcin G. 🟨,
  • 85', Sorriso , Pedro Bondo ,
  • 85', Elisor S. , Sejk V. ,
  • 85', Sa G. , Lobato S. ,
  • 85', Jason , Popovic B. ,
  • 90+1', Loum M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Gil Dias 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arouca 34.3%Draw 30.4%Famalicão 35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Arouca 39.6%Draw 28.6%Famalicão 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Arouca 39.6%Draw 28.6%Famalicão 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arouca's form might have worsened.

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Arouca - Famalicão Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.73
(2.33)
3.09
(3.23)
2.68
(2.9)
6.2%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Famalicão?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury) Simao D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Arouca: Gozalbez P. (Injury) Nandin D. (Inactive) Tiago Esgaio (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Arouca won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Famalicão were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Famalicão - Arouca 0:0
    23.02.2024 Arouca - Famalicão 3:2
    22.09.2023 Famalicão - Arouca 1:0
    03.04.2023 Famalicão - Arouca 0:1
    10.10.2022 Arouca - Famalicão 4:1
    Latest results of Arouca
    29.03.2025 Braga - Arouca 2:1
    08.03.2025 AVS - Arouca 0:1
    01.03.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:2
    23.02.2025 Arouca - Farense 2:2
    15.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Arouca 2:2
    Latest results of Famalicão
    30.03.2025 Famalicão - AVS 4:1
    10.03.2025 Famalicão - Rio Ave 1:0
    01.03.2025 Nacional - Famalicão 2:1
    23.02.2025 Famalicão - Moreirense 2:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP31236283:255875
    2Benfica31243480:255575
    3Braga31197552:262664
    4FC Porto31195757:282962
    5Vitoria Guimaraes311312644:321251
    6Santa Clara311551131:29250
    7Famalicao311111940:34644
    8Estoril311191141:49-842
    9Casa Pia311181236:41-541
    10Moreirense31991336:45-936
    11Nacional31961628:42-1433
    12Arouca31891430:47-1733
    13Rio Ave31891433:51-1833
    14Gil Vicente31881531:43-1232
    15Estrela31781624:43-1929
    16AFS314121523:55-3224
    17SC Farense31491820:42-2221
    18Boavista31562020:52-3221

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Arouca - Famalicão?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
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