Arouca vs Famalicão: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Arouca - Famalicão
Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 28
  • Referee: Neves G. (Por)
Arouca - Famalicão - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.210.98
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
81% (328/405)74% (209/283)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
3.210.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.601.25
Total shots
156
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1812
Through passes
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
81% (328/405)74% (209/283)
Long passes
57% (34/60)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
57% (57/100)58% (44/76)
Crosses
21% (4/19)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.20
Fouls
1716
Tackles
65% (11/17)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5946
Clearances Total
1939
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.252.60
Goals prevented
-0.751.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Mihaj E. 🟨,
  • 20', Jason (Pen),
  • 29', Pinheiro R. 🟨,
  • 33', Lamba C. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Aranda O. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', De Amorim M. , Topic M. ,
  • 54', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
  • 64', Rafa Soares 🟨,
  • 66', Puche , Mansilla B. ,
  • 66', Fukui T. , Sylla M. ,
  • 68', Aranda O. , Gil Dias ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Araujo H. (Pen),
  • 76', 1 - 2, Topic M. , Sa G. (A),
  • 82', Yalcin G. 🟨,
  • 85', Sorriso , Pedro Bondo ,
  • 85', Elisor S. , Sejk V. ,
  • 85', Sa G. , Lobato S. ,
  • 85', Jason , Popovic B. ,
  • 90+1', Loum M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Gil Dias 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arouca
34.3%
Draw
30.4%
Famalicão
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 28.6% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 28.6% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arouca's form might have worsened.
  • Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Arouca - Famalicão Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.33)
    3.09
    (3.23)
    2.68
    (2.9)
    6.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Famalicão?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury) Simao D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Arouca: Gozalbez P. (Injury) Nandin D. (Inactive) Tiago Esgaio (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Arouca won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Famalicão were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Famalicão - Arouca 0:0
    23.02.2024 Arouca - Famalicão 3:2
    22.09.2023 Famalicão - Arouca 1:0
    03.04.2023 Famalicão - Arouca 0:1
    10.10.2022 Arouca - Famalicão 4:1
    Latest results of Arouca
    29.03.2025 Braga - Arouca 2:1
    08.03.2025 AVS - Arouca 0:1
    01.03.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:2
    23.02.2025 Arouca - Farense 2:2
    15.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Arouca 2:2
    Latest results of Famalicão
    30.03.2025 Famalicão - AVS 4:1
    10.03.2025 Famalicão - Rio Ave 1:0
    01.03.2025 Nacional - Famalicão 2:1
    23.02.2025 Famalicão - Moreirense 2:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AFSVizela
    Which TV channels are streaming of Arouca - Famalicão?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
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