St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld
29/04/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


St. Pauli
47.9%
Draw
26.3%
Arminia Bielefeld
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 24.6% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 24.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.78)
    3.61
    (3.82)
    3.69
    (4.09)
    5.3%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 15).
    • St. Pauli has the most likely position - 5 (29.4%), project points - 55, currently - 47, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (24.37%), project points - 35, currently - 29, a chance of relegated (33%), not chance of promoted.
    • This event has quality 36, importance 33, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • St. Pauli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli 2:0
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamburger SV ✔ 331611676:413559
    2FC Koln33177949:381158
    3Elversberg331510862:362655
    4Paderborn331510856:431355
    5Dusseldorf331411855:48753
    6Kaiserslautern331581056:51553
    7Magdeburg331311960:501050
    8Hannover331311940:35550
    9Karlsruher SC3313101054:55-149
    10Nurnberg331361456:56045
    11Hertha Berlin331271448:50-243
    12Darmstadt331091453:54-139
    13Schalke331081551:60-938
    14Greuther Furth33991542:57-1536
    15Preussen Munster338111438:41-335
    16Braunschweig338111437:60-2335
    17Ulm ✔ 336111634:46-1229
    18Regensburg ✔ 33672022:68-4625

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Hamburger SV is Qualified for Bundesliga
    Ulm is Relegated to 3. Liga
    Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga
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