Result
29/04/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
St. Pauli
47.9% | Draw
26.3% | Arminia Bielefeld
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.78) |
3.61 ↓
(3.82) |
3.69 ↓
(4.09) |
5.3%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 38.5% – 81.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 15).
- St. Pauli has the most likely position - 5 (29.4%), project points - 55, currently - 47, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (24.37%), project points - 35, currently - 29, a chance of relegated (33%), not chance of promoted.
- This event has quality 36, importance 33, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- St. Pauli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-19.
- Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Arminia Bielefeld?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against St. Pauli?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
22.10.2022
Arminia Bielefeld
-
St. Pauli
2:0
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hannover | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Schalke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Darmstadt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Preussen Munster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Braunschweig | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Greuther Furth | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Magdeburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Bochum | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Hertha Berlin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Nurnberg | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
Which TV channels are streaming of St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
