Result
2:3
02/04/2023 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 26
- Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
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Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
45% | Draw
26.6% | Arminia Bielefeld
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.02) |
3.55 ↓
(3.56) |
3.3 ↓
(3.44) |
6.2%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4% – 70.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
- Holstein Kiel has the most likely position - 9 (20.71%), project points - 46, currently - 34, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (14.62%), project points - 37, currently - 25, a chance of relegated (22%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 34, small importance 24, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0.
- Holstein Kiel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Arminia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Arminia have a series of home games.
- Holstein Kiel will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Holstein Kiel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Holstein Kiel?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
17.09.2022
Arminia Bielefeld
-
Holstein Kiel
4:2
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Schalke | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Paderborn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hannover | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Nurnberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Bochum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Dusseldorf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Slovenia | Sport TV |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
