Arminia Bielefeld vs Freiburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German DFB Pokal Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg
Result
3:1
03/12/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1713
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
139
Free Kicks
1518
Corner Kicks
73
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
2119
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Fouls
1516
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', Grosser M. 🟨,
  • 18', Muslija F. (Pen),
  • 28', 1 - 0, Lannert C. , Worl M. (A),
  • 36', Eggestein M. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Kania J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Muller F. , Atubolu N. ,
  • 46', Muslija F. , Grifo V. ,
  • 54', Sildillia K. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Gregoritsch M. , Doan R. (A),
  • 75', Gunter C. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 75', Sildillia K. , Lienhart P. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Oppie L. , Corboz M. (A),
  • 83', Holer L. , Rohl M. ,
  • 86', Kunze L. , Biankadi M. ,
  • 89', Worl M. , Schroers M. ,
  • 89', Kania J. , Becker A. ,
  • 90+3', Schreck S. , Young I. ,
  • 90+3', Lannert C. , Hagmann F. ,

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
21%
Draw
24.7%
Freiburg
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 23.2% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 23.7% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.54
    (5.2)
    3.85
    (4.05)
    1.75
    (1.61)
    5.1%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1.
    • Arminia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Freiburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arminia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Freiburg is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Arminia: Felix J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Knee Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Becker A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sarenren Bazee N. J. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    Latest results of Freiburg
    14.11.2024 Karlsruher - Freiburg 0:1
    08.11.2024 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0
    03.11.2024 Freiburg - Mainz 0:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    2SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    3CottbusHannover1 : 0
    4SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    5FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    6Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    7BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    8PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    9DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    10MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    11Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    12UlmElversberg0 : 1
    13LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    14RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    15EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    16RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    17LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    18Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    19HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    20BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    21SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    22LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    23Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    24GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    25SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    26BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    27HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    28FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    29RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    30WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1IllertissenMagdeburg
    2CottbusRB Leipzig
    3Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld
    4HeidenheimHamburger SV
    5B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC
    6Hertha BerlinElversberg
    7Greuther FurthKaiserslautern
    8Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund
    9DarmstadtSchalke
    10AugsburgBochum
    11DusseldorfFreiburg
    12PaderbornBayer Leverkusen
    13MainzStuttgart
    14WolfsburgHolstein Kiel
    15FC KolnBayern Munich
    16St. PauliHoffenheim
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