Arezzo vs Lucchese: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie C Group B Arezzo - Lucchese
Result
4:1
23/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - Group B - Round 37
Arezzo - Lucchese - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 30', Welbeck N. 🟨,
  • 38', Eklu S. M. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Eklu S. M. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 67', 2 - 1, Pattarello E. ,
  • 69', Magnaghi S. , Badje I. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Pattarello E. ,
  • 70', Pattarello E. 🟨,
  • 76', Dezi J. , Settembrini A. ,
  • 76', Eklu S. M. , Chierico L. ,
  • 76', 4 - 1, Tavernelli C. ,
  • 82', Selvini A. , Fedato F. ,
  • 82', Welbeck N. , Cartano R. ,
  • 83', Pattarello E. , Fiore S. ,
  • 83', Tavernelli C. , Capello A. ,
  • 88', Badje I. 🟨,
  • 89', Ravasio M. , Ogunseye R. ,

Chances of winning


Arezzo
50.3%
Draw
26.5%
Lucchese
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 28.3% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 31.1% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Arezzo - Lucchese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.82)
    3.47
    (3.25)
    3.98
    (4.37)
    8.6%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arezzo - Lucchese?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Lucchese (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 1.
    • Recent matches Arezzo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lucchese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lucchese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Arezzo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lucchese: Gucher R. (Yellow Cards) Tumbarello G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lucchese: Catanese G. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:17 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arezzo - Lucchese were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Lucchese - Arezzo 0:1
    08.04.2024 Lucchese - Arezzo 1:1
    02.12.2023 Arezzo - Lucchese 1:1
    03.10.2023 Arezzo - Lucchese 3:4
    Latest results of Arezzo
    13.04.2025 Virtus Entella - Arezzo 2:1
    09.04.2025 Pescara - Arezzo 0:1
    05.04.2025 Arezzo - Perugia 2:0
    22.03.2025 Arezzo - Milan Futuro 1:0
    15.03.2025 Ascoli - Arezzo 1:0
    Latest results of Lucchese
    13.04.2025 Lucchese - Vis Pesaro 1:0
    05.04.2025 Pontedera - Lucchese 4:1
    30.03.2025 Lucchese - Ternana 4:1
    22.03.2025 Legnago Salus - Lucchese 1:1
    15.03.2025 Lucchese - Campobasso 2:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo22004:046
    2Ascoli21102:024
    3Pineto21103:124
    4Sambenedettese21102:114
    5Gubbio21102:114
    6Carpi21102:114
    7Juventus U2321103:214
    8Ravenna21013:303
    9Torres21012:203
    10Livorno21012:203
    11Forli21011:103
    12Campobasso21014:403
    13Perugia20202:202
    14Vis Pesaro20201:102
    15Rimini20110:1-11
    16Bra20112:3-11
    17Pianese20110:1-11
    18Guidonia20110:2-21
    19Ternana20020:3-30
    20Pontedera20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Arezzo - Lucchese?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
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