Adama City vs Arba Minch: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ethiopian Premier League Adama City - Arba Minch
Result
1:3
05/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 21
Adama City - Arba Minch - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
36
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
11
Corner Kicks
15
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Mengistu S. ,
  • 45+3', Demssie D. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 🟨,
  • 45+5', Mengistu S. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Hussien A. ,
  • 58', Sharif R. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Hussien A. ,
  • 65', Leges E. , Kiros M. ,
  • 69', Mekonnen F. , Ribbon C. ,
  • 72', Nuri N. , Reshad A. ,
  • 84', 1 - 3, Hussien A. ,

Chances of winning


Adama City
21.9%
Draw
26.7%
Arba Minch
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 30.2% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 29.7% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adama City's form might have worsened.
  • Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arba Minch's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adama City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arba Minch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Adama City - Arba Minch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.21
    (3.22)
    3.44
    (3.01)
    1.79
    (2.19)
    8.7%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Adama City - Arba Minch?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Arba Minch will win! (8 of 8 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Adama City won 0.
    • Adama City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Arba Minch is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arba Minch will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Adama City won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.5:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Adama City won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adama City - Arba Minch were as follows:
    13.01.2025 Arba Minch - Adama City 2:0
    20.05.2023 Adama City - Arba Minch 0:0
    01.12.2022 Arba Minch - Adama City 1:0
    Latest results of Adama City
    Latest results of Arba Minch
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ethiopian Insurance31197541:132864
    2Ethiopia Bunna31167827:151255
    3Bahir Dar Kenema31139933:211248
    4Sidama Bunna311210925:26-146
    5St. George321291129:27245
    6Welayta Dicha311291031:31045
    7Mechal311014735:28744
    8Hawassa311111934:30444
    9Hadiya Hossana311111929:27244
    10Arba Menche321271331:31043
    11Ethiopia Nigd Bank31913929:29040
    12Dire Dawa319121029:32-339
    13Ethio Electric319111125:27-238
    14Fasil Kenema31814929:32-338
    15Mekelle 70 Enderta319101224:33-937
    16Adama City31981427:39-1235
    17Shire Endaselassie313131518:35-1722
    18Welwalo Adigrat312131620:40-2019
    19Wolkite Ketema00000:000

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
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