Result
1:3
05/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 21
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Mengistu S. ⚽,
- 45+3', Demssie D. 🟨,
- 45+4', 🟨,
- 45+5', Mengistu S. 🟨,
- 45+6', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 50', 1 - 1, Hussien A. ⚽,
- 58', Sharif R. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Hussien A. ⚽,
- 65', Leges E. ↓, Kiros M. ↑,
- 69', Mekonnen F. ↓, Ribbon C. ↑,
- 72', Nuri N. ↓, Reshad A. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Hussien A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Adama City
21.9% | Draw
26.7% | Arba Minch
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adama City's form might have worsened.Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arba Minch's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adama City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arba Minch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adama City - Arba Minch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(3.22) |
3.44 ↑
(3.01) |
1.79 ↓
(2.19) |
8.7%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Adama City - Arba Minch?
Users Predictions:
Arba Minch will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Adama City won 0.
- Adama City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Arba Minch is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Arba Minch will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Adama City won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.5:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Adama City won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Adama City won against Arba Minch?
Adama City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Adama City?
Arba Minch has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adama City - Arba Minch were as follows:
13.01.2025
Arba Minch
-
Adama City
2:0
20.05.2023
Adama City
-
Arba Minch
0:0
01.12.2022
Arba Minch
-
Adama City
1:0
Latest results of Adama City
Latest results of Arba Minch
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ethiopian Insurance | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 49:15 | 34 | 73 |
| 2 | Ethiopia Bunna | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 32:18 | 14 | 60 |
| 3 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 40:24 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Hawassa | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | Sidama Bunna | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 27:28 | -1 | 49 |
| 6 | Welayta Dicha | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 48 |
| 7 | Arba Menche | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32:31 | 1 | 47 |
| 8 | Hadiya Hossana | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 47 |
| 9 | St. George | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 46 |
| 10 | Mechal | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 45 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 44 |
| 12 | Ethio Electric | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 44 |
| 13 | Dire Dawa | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Fasil Kenema | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 33:35 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 27:36 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Adama City | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 22:46 | -24 | 22 |
| 18 | Welwalo Adigrat | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 21:46 | -25 | 19 |
| 19 | Wolkite Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
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