Caracas vs Aragua: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Venezuela Caracas - Aragua
Result
4:0
25/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Venezuela - Round 4
Caracas - Aragua - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, De Santis J. ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Tegues D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 79', 3 - 0, Jimenez N. ,
  • 82', 4 - 0, Rondon J. ,

Chances of winning


Caracas
62.8%
Draw
23.3%
Aragua
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 24% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 24.2% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Aragua aligns with the current prediction.
  • Caracas - Aragua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.47)
    3.92
    (3.8)
    6.52
    (6.44)
    9.6%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 1.
    • In recent matches, Caracas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aragua is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aragua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Caracas is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Aragua were as follows:
    18.06.2025 Aragua - Caracas 2:1
    18.09.2022 Aragua - Caracas 4:2
    Latest results of Caracas
    18.06.2025 Aragua - Caracas 2:1
    11.06.2025 Caracas - Dynamo Puerto 2:0
    29.05.2025 Caracas - Deportes Iquique 2:1
    Latest results of Aragua
    22.06.2025 Monagas B - Aragua 0:1
    18.06.2025 Aragua - Caracas 2:1
    15.06.2025 Aragua - Angostura 4:1
    11.06.2025 Deportivo Miranda - Aragua 3:0
    08.06.2025 Bolivar - Aragua 1:1
    Copa Venezuela Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caracas632110:4611
    2Dynamo Puerto631211:9210
    3Miranda62227:438
    4Aragua61145:16-114


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes Merida651016:11516
    2Frontera63127:6110
    3El Vigia63038:11-39
    4Urena60063:16-130


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo642013:7614
    2Zamora62319:729
    3Titanes61325:7-26
    4Yaracuyanos61055:11-63


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monagas651013:5816
    2Mineros630312:849
    3Bolivar62225:8-38
    4Angostura60156:15-91


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Zuliano641114:41013
    2Barquisimeto640212:9312
    3Heroes de Falcon62046:14-86
    4Trujillanos61148:13-54


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barquisimeto640212:9312
    2Dynamo Puerto631211:9210
    3Frontera63127:6110
    4Mineros630312:849
    5Zamora62319:729

          Promotion ~ Copa Venezuela (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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