Luverdense vs Aparecidense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Luverdense - Aparecidense
Result
3:1
07/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 8
Luverdense - Aparecidense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
92
Red Cards
02
Total shots
124
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Enzo ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Felipinho ,
  • 67', 🟥,
  • 67', Dyego 🟥,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Raul Prata ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Bruninho ,

Chances of winning


Luverdense
35.5%
Draw
28.9%
Aparecidense
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.6% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 28.5% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luverdense's performance.
  • Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aparecidense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luverdense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aparecidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luverdense - Aparecidense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (3.1)
    3.13
    (3.25)
    2.54
    (2.06)
    10.7%
    (11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Luverdense - Aparecidense?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Luverdense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aparecidense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Luverdense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aparecidense (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Luverdense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aparecidense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Luverdense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Luverdense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luverdense - Aparecidense were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    Latest results of Luverdense
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    24.05.2025 Luverdense - Porto Velho 1:0
    10.05.2025 Luverdense - Ceilândia 2:2
    03.05.2025 Mixto - Luverdense 0:1
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    24.05.2025 Ceilândia - Aparecidense 2:3
    21.05.2025 Aparecidense - Fluminense 1:4
    17.05.2025 Aparecidense - Goiânia 3:1
    04.05.2025 Goianésia - Aparecidense 0:3
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manauara1055021:71420
    2Tuna Luso953116:51118
    3Aguia De Maraba943214:6815
    4Independencia942311:10114
    5Manaus1034313:12113
    6Trem932414:15-111
    7GAS1032512:17-511
    8Humaita100198:37-291


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos1055015:9620
    2Imperatriz1053213:9418
    3Sampaio Correa103439:8113
    4Maranhao1026213:10312
    5Iguatu1032511:11011
    6Tocantinopolis102539:13-411
    7Parnahyba92437:11-410
    8Maracana91357:13-66


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Cruz971116:61022
    2America RN1061317:8919
    3Central SC952212:6617
    4Ferroviario1041513:16-313
    5Santa Cruz de Natal104159:15-613
    6Treze PB103165:13-810
    7Horizonte92257:12-58
    8Sousa92166:9-37


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA1072121:61523
    2Sergipe1052312:6617
    3Juazeirense104339:11-215
    4Jequie942314:12214
    5Lagarto1042412:14-214
    6Uniao Carmolandense1033410:11-112
    7Barcelona91445:15-107
    8SC Penedense100463:11-84


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ceilandia1062216:10620
    2Luverdense1062212:10220
    3Aparecidense961218:10819
    4Mixto1044218:13516
    5Capital103438:7113
    6Goianesia101458:14-67
    7Porto Velho101367:15-86
    8Goiania91265:13-85


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa1062216:12420
    2Rio Branco ES1051413:9416
    3Agua Santa1042415:15014
    4Pouso Alegre1042410:11-114
    5Marica1034310:9113
    6Porto Vitoria1033410:11-112
    7Nova Iguacu102538:9-111
    8Boavista102359:15-69


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Limeira1063116:61021
    2Uberlandia1042418:13514
    3Goiatuba1042418:15314
    4Cascavel1035211:12-114
    5Cianorte1034314:14013
    6Monte Azul1025310:12-211
    7Operario MS102359:17-89
    8Itabirito101638:15-79


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville96129:5419
    2Barra FC952216:8817
    3EC Sao Jose944115:8716
    4Marcilio Dias942312:11114
    5Brasil de Pelotas93156:9-310
    6Azuriz93155:8-310
    7Sao Luiz93067:14-79
    8Guarany de Bage91354:11-76

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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