Aparecidense vs Goiatuba: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Aparecidense - Goiatuba
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Aparecidense - Goiatuba - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Aparecidense
54.1%
Draw
28.7%
Goiatuba
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 25.2% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 24% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Goiatuba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiatuba than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Aparecidense - Goiatuba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.63)
    3.19
    (3.6)
    5.32
    (4.75)
    9.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-2. 2nd leg.
    • Aparecidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Goiatuba's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Aparecidense is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Aparecidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Goiatuba were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Goiatuba - Aparecidense 2:3
    16.02.2025 Goiatuba - Aparecidense 1:0
    18.02.2024 Aparecidense - Goiatuba 1:1
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    17.08.2025 Goiatuba - Aparecidense 2:3
    09.08.2025 Aparecidense - Maricá 2:2
    02.08.2025 Maricá - Aparecidense 1:2
    19.07.2025 Mixto - Aparecidense 0:0
    Latest results of Goiatuba
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1
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