Aoran Wang vs Denis Yevseyev: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Aoran Wang - Denis Yevseyev
Result
0:2
06/10/2025 at 00:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Aoran Wang - Denis Yevseyev - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
68
Double Faults
85
1st Serve Percentage
44%62%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (20/28)70% (31/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (13/36)41% (11/27)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
30% (13/44)29% (8/28)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (16/27)64% (23/36)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
52% (33/64)59% (42/71)
Return Points Won
41% (29/71)48% (31/64)
Total Points Won
46% (62/135)54% (73/135)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Aoran Wang
19.1%
Denis Yevseyev
80.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 50.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aoran Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aoran Wang's form might have worsened.
  • Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Yevseyev's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aoran Wang than the current prediction. (+30%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aoran Wang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-30%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aoran Wang - Denis Yevseyev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.88
    (1.84)

    1.16
    (1.85)
    7.1%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Aoran Wang - Denis Yevseyev?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Yevseyev (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Denis Yevseyev will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wang is ranked ATP: 1087. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 341.
    • Wang has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Yevseyev has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Aoran Wang
    23.09.2025 Quentin Halys - Aoran Wang 2:0
    24.08.2025 Filip Peliwo - Aoran Wang 2:0
    10.08.2025 Aoran Wang - Theo Papamalamis Wang A. retired
    Latest results of Denis Yevseyev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.
    3Tomic B.Harris B.
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)
    5Smith C.Droguet T.
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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