Anderlecht vs Porto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League Anderlecht - Porto
Result
2:2
28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Krogh M. (Den)
Anderlecht - Porto - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.41
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
912
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
03
Free Kicks
167
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
62
Throw-ins
1715
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
716
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
409374
Completed Passes
332302
Crosses Completed
25
Interceptions
1111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Galeno (Pen),
  • 28', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
  • 34', Joao Mario 🟨,
  • 44', Nico 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Joao Mario , Fernandes M. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Degreef T. , Rits M. (A),
  • 54', Moura F. 🟨,
  • 60', Edozie S. , Amuzu F. ,
  • 64', Bruno V. 🟨,
  • 72', Dolberg K. , Vazquez L. ,
  • 73', Degreef T. , Dreyer A. ,
  • 75', Pepê , Borges G. ,
  • 82', Eustaquio S. , Vieira F. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Vieira F. , Nico (A),
  • 84', Foket T. , Engwanda N. ,
  • 84', Dendoncker L. , Verschaeren Y. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Amuzu F. , N'Diaye M. (A),

Chances of winning


Anderlecht
24.8%
Draw
26.4%
Porto
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 29.3% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 30.3% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Anderlecht - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (3.05)
    3.65
    (3.05)
    1.97
    (2.15)
    4.2%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Porto will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 25.6%61%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Anderlecht in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Porto is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Anderlecht: Hazard T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Gul D. (Thigh Injury) Ivan Jaime (Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Navarro F. (Muscle Injury) Otavio (Muscle Injury) Wendell (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Anderlecht: Ashimeru M. (Muscle Injury) Augustinsson L. (Injury) Vertonghen J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    24.11.2024 Anderlecht - Gent 6:0
    10.11.2024 Cercle Brugge - Anderlecht 0:5
    07.11.2024 RFS - Anderlecht 1:1
    03.11.2024 Anderlecht - Kortrijk 4:0
    31.10.2024 Tubize - Anderlecht 0:4
    Latest results of Porto
    24.11.2024 Moreirense - Porto 2:1
    10.11.2024 Benfica - Porto 4:1
    07.11.2024 Lazio - Porto 2:1
    03.11.2024 Porto - Estoril Praia 4:0
    31.10.2024 Porto - Moreirense 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    17ServetteBye
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    24ByeBrann
    25PanathinaikosBye
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    32ByeNoah
    33RijekaBye
    36ByeShelbourne
    37RFSBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    44ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    45ZrinjskiBye
    48ByeBreidablik
    49FCSBBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9ServetteBye
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    12ByeBrann
    13PanathinaikosBye
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    16ByeNoah
    17RijekaBye
    18ByeShelbourne
    19RFSBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23ZrinjskiBye
    24ByeBreidablik
    25FCSBBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadMidtjylland
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3AEK LarnacaLegia
    4CFR ClujBraga
    5ServetteUtrecht
    6HackenBrann
    7PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    8Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    9RijekaShelbourne
    10RFSKuPS
    11HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ZrinjskiBreidablik
    13FCSBDrita
    Which TV channels are streaming of Anderlecht - Porto?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 1
    argentinaArgentinaESPN 3
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
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    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
    denmarkDenmarkDisney+
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
    hungaryHungaryRTL+
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
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    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
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    polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 3
    portugalPortugalCanal 11, Sport TV5
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1 Champions
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
    swedenSwedenDisney+
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sky Sport Top Event
    tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
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