Result
1:2
29/04/2026 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 75% | 62% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (34/59) | 77% (47/61) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 34% (13/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0/7 | 4/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 23% (14/61) | 42% (25/59) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 66% (25/38) | 80% (16/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/8 | 7/7 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (38/79) | 61% (60/99) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (39/99) | 52% (41/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (77/178) | 57% (101/178) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 64% (18/28) |
Chances of winning
Karolina Pliskova
38.1% | Anastasia Potapova
61.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Anastasia Potapova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Potapova than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Karolina Pliskova - Anastasia Potapova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.23) |
|
1.54 ↓
(1.64) |
4.7%
(5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Karolina Pliskova - Anastasia Potapova?
- Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Potapova will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pliskova: 40.8% – 77.8%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH +1.5 Sets - Pliskova (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karolina Pliskova will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pliskova (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Pliskova is ranked WTA: 197. Potapova is ranked WTA: 56.
- Pliskova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Potapova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Potapova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Potapova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pliskova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Karolina Pliskova won against Anastasia Potapova?
Karolina Pliskova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Anastasia Potapova won against Karolina Pliskova?
Anastasia Potapova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karolina Pliskova - Anastasia Potapova were as follows:
13.02.2024
Anastasia Potapova
-
Karolina Pliskova
1:2
Latest results of Karolina Pliskova
Latest results of Anastasia Potapova
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Stearns P. | Boisson L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Uchijima M. | Starodubtseva Y. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Cristian J. (29) | |
| 5 | Bouzkova M. (23) | Bye | |
| 6 | Kalinina A. (Q) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Zakharova A. | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Osaka N. (14) | |
| 9 | Bencic B. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Marcinko P. | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Haddad Maia B. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Shnaider D. (18) | |
| 13 | Baptiste H. (30) | Bye | |
| 14 | Quevedo K. (WC) | Williams V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Siegemund L. | Begu I. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (8) | |
| 17 | Swiatek I. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Snigur D. (Q) | Kasatkina D. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Parks A. (Q) | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Li A. (31) | |
| 21 | Fernandez L. (24) | Bye | |
| 22 | Badosa P. (WC) | Grabher J. | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Montgomery R. (WC) | Linette M. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Jovic I. (15) | |
| 25 | Andreeva M. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Udvardy P. (LL) | Birrell K. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Galfi D. (Q) | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (22) | |
| 29 | Wang Xin. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Maria T. | Samson L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Bondar A. | Golubic V. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Svitolina E. (7) | |
| 33 | Pegula J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Townsend T. | Boulter K. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Putintseva Y. | Valentova T. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Kostyuk M. (26) | |
| 37 | Blinkova A. (Alt) | Bye | |
| 38 | Kalieva E. (Q) | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | McNally C. | Volynets K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Mboko V. (10) | |
| 41 | Noskova L. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Gibson T. | Arango E. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Tjen J. | Charaeva A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Samsonova L. (20) | |
| 45 | Cirstea S. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Jacquemot E. | Grant T. C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Selekhmeteva O. | Jeanjean L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Gauff C. (3) | |
| 49 | Frech M. (34) | Bye | |
| 50 | Yastremska D. | Sierra S. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Sonmez Z. | Martinez Cirez C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Bucsa C. (27) | |
| 53 | Mertens E. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q) | Eala A. | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Pliskova Ka. | Kraus S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Sakkari M. (33) | |
| 57 | Potapova A. (LL) | Bye | |
| 58 | Zhang S. | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Oliynykova O. | Waltert S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (21) | |
| 61 | Zheng Q. (32) | Bye | |
| 62 | Krueger A. | Kenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Ruse G. | Ruzic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Rybakina E. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Stearns P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Starodubtseva Y. | Cristian J. (29) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bouzkova M. (23) | Kalinina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Osorio C. | Osaka N. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bencic B. (11) | Marcinko P. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Shnaider D. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Baptiste H. (30) | Quevedo K. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Siegemund L. | Paolini J. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Swiatek I. (4) | Snigur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Parks A. | Li A. (31) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Fernandez L. (24) | Grabher J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Linette M. | Jovic I. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Andreeva M. (9) | Udvardy P. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Galfi D. | Kalinskaya A. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Wang Xin. (28) | Samson L. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bondar A. | Svitolina E. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (5) | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Putintseva Y. | Kostyuk M. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Blinkova A. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | McNally C. | Mboko V. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Noskova L. (13) | Arango E. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Tjen J. | Samsonova L. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Cirstea S. (25) | Grant T. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Jeanjean L. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Frech M. (34) | Sierra S. | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Sonmez Z. | Bucsa C. (27) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Mertens E. (19) | Eala A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Pliskova Ka. | Sakkari M. (33) | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Potapova A. | Zhang S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Waltert S. | Ostapenko J. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Zheng Q. (32) | Kenin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Ruse G. | Rybakina E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Cristian J. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kalinina A. | Osaka N. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Bencic B. (11) | Shnaider D. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Baptiste H. (30) | Paolini J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Swiatek I. (RET.) (4) | Li A. (31) | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fernandez L. (24) | Jovic I. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Andreeva M. (9) | Galfi D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Samson L. | Bondar A. | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (5) | Kostyuk M. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Siniakova K. | McNally C. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Noskova L. (WO.) (13) | Samsonova L. (20) | |
| 12 | Cirstea S. (25) | Gauff C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Sierra S. | Sonmez Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Mertens E. (19) | Pliskova Ka. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Potapova A. | Ostapenko J. (21) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Zheng Q. (32) | Rybakina E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Osaka N. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bencic B. (11) | Baptiste H. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Li A. (31) | Fernandez L. (24) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Andreeva M. (9) | Bondar A. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Kostyuk M. (26) | McNally C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Noskova L. (13) | Gauff C. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Sierra S. | Pliskova Ka. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Potapova A. | Rybakina E. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Baptiste H. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Fernandez L. (24) | Andreeva M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kostyuk M. (26) | Noskova L. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pliskova Ka. | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Baptiste H. (30) | Andreeva M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Kostyuk M. (26) | Potapova A. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Andreeva M. (9) | Kostyuk M. (26) | 0 : 2 |
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