Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Dayana Yastremska: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA US Open Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Dayana Yastremska
Result
2:1
25/08/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Dayana Yastremska - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
312
Double Faults
611
1st Serve Percentage
61%44%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (56/71)77% (37/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (23/45)61% (37/61)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)33% (1/3)
Average 1st Serve Speed
155 km/h157 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
130 km/h135 km/h
1st Return Points Won
23% (11/48)21% (15/71)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (24/61)49% (22/45)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)33% (1/3)
Winners
1943
Unforced Errors
3853
Net Points Won
71% (5/7)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
68% (79/116)68% (74/109)
Return Points Won
32% (35/109)32% (37/116)
Total Points Won
51% (114/225)49% (111/225)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
94% (16/17)88% (15/17)
Return Games Won
12% (2/17)6% (1/17)
Total Games Won
53% (18/34)47% (16/34)
Distance Covered (metres)
12411352

Chances of winning


Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
39.7%
Dayana Yastremska
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Dayana Yastremska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dayana Yastremska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Dayana Yastremska Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.23)

    1.58
    (1.69)
    4.5%
    (4%)
    What is the prediction for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Dayana Yastremska?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Pavlyuchenkova will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Yastremska will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yastremska: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dayana Yastremska will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pavlyuchenkova is ranked WTA: 33. Yastremska is ranked WTA: 31.
    • Recent form of Pavlyuchenkova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Yastremska is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pavlyuchenkova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Yastremska will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pavlyuchenkova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
    Latest results of Dayana Yastremska
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.
    51Collins D.Cristian J.
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.
    2TBD #3Fernandez L. (31)
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.
    12TBD #23Bencic B. (16)
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.
    16Potapova A.TBD #32
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24TBD #47TBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51TBD #52
    27TBD #53TBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30TBD #59TBD #60
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.
    32TBD #63TBD #64

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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