Amiens vs Guingamp: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Amiens - Guingamp
Result
3:2
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 31
  • Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
Amiens - Guingamp - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.152.35
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (265/325)88% (559/634)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.152.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.371.66
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1842
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
82% (265/325)88% (559/634)
Long passes
47% (23/49)69% (22/32)
Passes in final third
68% (34/50)79% (189/240)
Crosses
0% (0/6)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.87
Fouls
1114
Tackles
65% (13/20)87% (20/23)
Duels won
4651
Clearances Total
2313
Interceptions
1412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.662.37
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Mbaye M. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Ghrieb R. , Picard H. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 1, Leautey A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Riou M. , Demouchy A. ,
  • 51', Fofana I. 🟨,
  • 52', 2 - 2, Siwe J. (Pen),
  • 69', Chabane A. , Bakayoko S. ,
  • 69', Lutin R. , Rafii Y. ,
  • 74', 3 - 2, Bakayoko S. , Monconduit T. (A),
  • 75', Picard H. , Guendouz S. ,
  • 75', Le Bris T. , Luvambo T. ,
  • 76', Siwe J. , Labeau B. ,
  • 81', Phiri L. , Ahile T. ,
  • 88', Monconduit T. , Carraro Injai P. ,

Chances of winning


Amiens
19.8%
Draw
25.4%
Guingamp
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 26.1% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 25.3% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Amiens - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.73
    (4.01)
    3.71
    (3.58)
    1.73
    (1.85)
    5.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Amiens - Guingamp?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Guingamp will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Guingamp is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Amiens: Bakayoko S. (Inactive) Kaiboue K. (Inactive) Kandil N. (Injury) Mafouta L. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D. (Red Card) Labeau B. (Injury) Le Bris T. (Inactive) Nair S. (Inactive) Ndour A. (Injury) Ourega D. (Inactive) Planeix I. (Knee Injury) Sissoko A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Guingamp: Hemia A. (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Amiens won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24:19 (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Guingamp were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 3:0
    06.04.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 0:0
    02.09.2023 Amiens - Guingamp 4:1
    15.04.2023 Guingamp - Amiens 3:1
    10.01.2023 Amiens - Guingamp 1:1
    Latest results of Amiens
    11.04.2025 Amiens - Dunkerque 1:0
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1
    28.03.2025 Clermont - Amiens 1:1
    14.03.2025 Amiens - Caen 2:1
    07.03.2025 Red Star - Amiens 2:0
    Latest results of Guingamp
    12.04.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:2
    07.04.2025 Dunkerque - Guingamp 3:1
    29.03.2025 Guingamp - Laval 2:0
    14.03.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 0:1
    07.03.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 3:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Amiens - Guingamp?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
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