América Mineiro vs Ferroviária: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Ferroviária
Result
1:2
07/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 11
  • Referee: Oliveira M. (Bra)
América Mineiro - Ferroviária - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.01
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
86% (388/453)86% (384/448)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.711.80
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
915
Passes
86% (388/453)86% (384/448)
Long passes
61% (39/64)64% (36/56)
Passes in final third
66% (85/129)72% (77/107)
Crosses
23% (7/31)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.87
Throw-ins
1624
Fouls
159
Tackles
62% (8/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1735
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.800.71
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Mariano 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Stenio , Figueiredo (A),
  • 44', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Stenio 🟨,
  • 49', Thiago Lopes 🟨,
  • 61', Thayllon , Vitor Barreto ,
  • 63', Elizari F. , Yago Souza ,
  • 63', Stenio , Jhosefer ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Vitor Barreto , Eric Melo (A),
  • 74', Eric Melo 🟨,
  • 74', Thiago Lopes , Ian Luccas ,
  • 75', Albano , Juninho ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Carlao , Juninho (A),
  • 83', Marlon , Paulinho ,
  • 83', Miqueias , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 84', Vitor Barreto , Alencar ,
  • 84', Carlao , Quirino ,
  • 90+2', Quirino 🟥,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
56.8%
Draw
26.4%
Ferroviária
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 24.5% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • América Mineiro - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.66)
    3.55
    (3.62)
    5.46
    (5.19)
    7.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
    • América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Fabinho (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Lucas Rodrigues (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Gustavo Medina (Inactive) Tarik (Inactive) Thayllon (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    29.05.2025 Ferroviária - Botafogo SP 1:1
    23.05.2025 Goiás - Ferroviária 2:0
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    02.05.2025 Ferroviária - Coritiba 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba16103316:61033
    2Goias16103320:12833
    3Novorizontino1686221:111030
    4Avai1566319:13624
    5Remo1566317:13424
    6Athletico-PR1672719:20-123
    7Vila Nova FC1672714:15-123
    8Chapecoense-SC1571719:15422
    9Cuiaba1564515:16-122
    10Atletico GO1657418:16222
    11CRB1663715:15021
    12America MG1662817:20-320
    13Operario-PR1653817:19-218
    14Ferroviaria1546515:17-218
    15Criciuma1545617:16117
    16Botafogo SP1545612:17-517
    17Athletic Club15501014:23-915
    18Paysandu PA1636711:17-615
    19Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    20Amazonas1535712:20-814

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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