Coritiba vs América Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Coritiba - América Mineiro
Result
1:0
19/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 8
  • Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
Coritiba - América Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.74
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
610
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
82% (245/297)82% (357/436)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.71
Total shots
916
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
918
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1222
Passes
82% (245/297)82% (357/436)
Long passes
57% (28/49)32% (19/60)
Passes in final third
64% (43/67)65% (68/105)
Crosses
5% (1/22)33% (10/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.78
Throw-ins
2230
Fouls
2212
Tackles
68% (13/19)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4359
Clearances
3227
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
105
xGOT faced
0.711.12
Goals prevented
0.710.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Stenio 🟨,
  • 9', Gomez S. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Gomez S. ,
  • 35', Guilherme Vargas , Maicon ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Gustavo Coutinho , Dellatorre ,
  • 58', Vini Paulista , Wallisson ,
  • 58', Paulinho , Marlon ,
  • 59', Kaua Diniz , Elizari F. ,
  • 67', Filipe Machado 🟨,
  • 67', Nicolas Careca , Ruan Assis ,
  • 67', Filipe Machado , Geovane ,
  • 67', Stenio , Gustavinho ,
  • 67', Mariano , Samuel ,
  • 72', Maicon 🟨,
  • 73', Jhosefer 🟨,
  • 74', Zeca 🟨,
  • 77', Jhosefer , Renato Marques ,
  • 82', Renato Marques 🟨,
  • 90+2', Geovane 🟨,

Chances of winning


Coritiba
47.1%
Draw
31.4%
América Mineiro
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.5% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 30.5% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coritiba's performance.
  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coritiba that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Coritiba - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.34)
    3
    (2.97)
    4.38
    (3.27)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Coritiba - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3.
    • Coritiba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, América MG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Coritiba will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Dellatorre (Inactive) Everaldo (Inactive) Pedro Morisco (Inactive) Rodrigo Moledo (Inactive)
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Yago Santos (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - América Mineiro were as follows:
    04.10.2024 América Mineiro - Coritiba 2:1
    19.06.2024 Coritiba - América Mineiro 1:0
    08.11.2023 América Mineiro - Coritiba 0:3
    08.07.2023 Coritiba - América Mineiro 3:1
    03.09.2022 América Mineiro - Coritiba 2:0
    Latest results of Coritiba
    10.05.2025 Goiás - Coritiba 1:0
    02.05.2025 Ferroviária - Coritiba 2:1
    21.04.2025 Remo - Coritiba 1:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1492318:11729
    2Coritiba1483313:6727
    3Novorizontino1475218:10826
    4Avai1465319:13623
    5Remo1465317:13423
    6CRB1463514:12221
    7Cuiaba1363415:15021
    8America MG1462616:16020
    9Athletico-PR1462618:19-120
    10Chapecoense-SC1461717:14319
    11Vila Nova FC1461711:14-319
    12Atletico GO1446414:13118
    13Ferroviaria1346313:12118
    14Operario-PR1452716:17-117
    15Criciuma1444616:15116
    16Volta Redonda143567:12-514
    17Amazonas1435612:19-714
    18Botafogo SP1334611:17-613
    19Athletic Club14401013:23-1012
    20Paysandu PA132477:14-710

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Coritiba - América Mineiro?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping
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