Coritiba vs América Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Coritiba - América Mineiro
Result
1:0
19/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 8
  • Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
Coritiba - América Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.74
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
610
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
82% (245/297)82% (357/436)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.71
Total shots
916
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
918
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1222
Passes
82% (245/297)82% (357/436)
Long passes
57% (28/49)32% (19/60)
Passes in final third
64% (43/67)65% (68/105)
Crosses
5% (1/22)33% (10/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.78
Throw-ins
2230
Fouls
2212
Tackles
68% (13/19)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4359
Clearances
3227
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
105
xGOT faced
0.711.12
Goals prevented
0.710.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Stenio 🟨,
  • 9', Gomez S. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Gomez S. ,
  • 35', Guilherme Vargas , Maicon ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Gustavo Coutinho , Dellatorre ,
  • 58', Vini Paulista , Wallisson ,
  • 58', Paulinho , Marlon ,
  • 59', Kaua Diniz , Elizari F. ,
  • 67', Filipe Machado 🟨,
  • 67', Nicolas Careca , Ruan Assis ,
  • 67', Filipe Machado , Geovane ,
  • 67', Stenio , Gustavinho ,
  • 67', Mariano , Samuel ,
  • 72', Maicon 🟨,
  • 73', Jhosefer 🟨,
  • 74', Zeca 🟨,
  • 77', Jhosefer , Renato Marques ,
  • 82', Renato Marques 🟨,
  • 90+2', Geovane 🟨,

Chances of winning


Coritiba
47.1%
Draw
31.4%
América Mineiro
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.5% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 30.5% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coritiba's performance.
  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coritiba that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Coritiba - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.34)
    3
    (2.97)
    4.38
    (3.27)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Coritiba - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3.
    • Coritiba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, América MG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Coritiba will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Dellatorre (Inactive) Everaldo (Inactive) Pedro Morisco (Inactive) Rodrigo Moledo (Inactive)
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Yago Santos (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - América Mineiro were as follows:
    04.10.2024 América Mineiro - Coritiba 2:1
    19.06.2024 Coritiba - América Mineiro 1:0
    08.11.2023 América Mineiro - Coritiba 0:3
    08.07.2023 Coritiba - América Mineiro 3:1
    03.09.2022 América Mineiro - Coritiba 2:0
    Latest results of Coritiba
    10.05.2025 Goiás - Coritiba 1:0
    02.05.2025 Ferroviária - Coritiba 2:1
    21.04.2025 Remo - Coritiba 1:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1182115:6926
    2Novorizontino1164114:7722
    3Cuiaba1163215:10521
    4Coritiba1162310:6420
    5Remo1155114:9520
    6Avai1154215:9619
    7CRB1153311:9218
    8Chapecoense-SC1151514:10416
    9Vila Nova FC115159:9016
    10Ferroviaria1136211:10115
    11Operario-PR1142513:14-114
    12Athletico-PR1142514:16-214
    13Atletico GO1135312:12014
    14America MG1141610:14-413
    15Criciuma1133511:10112
    16Volta Redonda112455:9-410
    17Botafogo SP1124510:16-610
    18Amazonas112457:14-710
    19Athletic Club112098:19-116
    20Paysandu PA110475:14-94

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Coritiba - América Mineiro?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping
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