Lugano vs Ambrì-Piotta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Hockey Swiss National League Hockey Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta
Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : National League - Round 10
Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2531
Shots off target
149
Shooting PCT
4% (1/25)6.45% (2/31)
Blocked Shots
2211
Goalkeeper Saves
2924
Saves PCT
93.55% (29/31)96% (24/25)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (2/2)
Faceoffs Won
2222
Faceoffs %
5050
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 10:39, 0 - 1, Joly M. (G),
  • 13:22, Burgler D. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:06, 1 - 1, Sanford Z. (G),
  • 10:02, Formenton A. (2 min),
  • 14:55, Sanford Z. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 08:12, 1 - 2, Zwerger D. (G), De Luca T. (A),

Chances of winning


Lugano
42.7%
Draw
23.8%
Ambrì-Piotta
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 22.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 22.5% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Ambrì-Piotta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ambrì-Piotta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ambrì-Piotta than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ambrì-Piotta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.5)
    4.08
    (4.24)
    2.85
    (2.4)
    1.9%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone National League (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 3.
    • Lugano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ambrì-Piotta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 60:39. (average 3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:18. (average 3.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta were as follows:
    28.01.2025 Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano 2:1
    23.12.2024 Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta 4:1
    22.11.2024 Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta 3:1
    11.10.2024 Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano 2:1
    09.03.2024 Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta 3:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    26.09.2025 Lugano - Lausanne HC 4:5
    23.09.2025 Lugano - Bern 0:3
    20.09.2025 Davos - Lugano 2:0
    19.09.2025 Lugano - Ajoie 2:0
    Latest results of Ambrì-Piotta
    Swiss National League Hockey Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Davos12921049:2432
    2Lausanne13900449:2727
    3Rapperswil-Jona12810341:2926
    4Zug12613233:2823
    5Zurich12702338:2623
    6Fribourg12530440:2921
    7Servette12602432:4920
    8EHC Kloten13412629:3516
    9Biel11240532:3014
    10Langnau Tigers12321627:3614
    11Lugano12312627:3113
    12Bern11310718:3111
    13Ambri-Piotta12201922:417
    14Ajoie12102918:395

          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          National League (Play Out: )

    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan