Amazonas vs Athletico Paranaense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Amazonas - Athletico Paranaense
Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 15
  • Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
Amazonas - Athletico Paranaense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.74
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
78% (298/381)72% (199/278)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.041.80
Total shots
914
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
78% (298/381)72% (199/278)
Long passes
31% (22/71)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
49% (45/92)66% (82/125)
Crosses
35% (6/17)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.99
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
1411
Tackles
47% (7/15)61% (14/23)
Duels won
3858
Clearances
3531
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.800.04
Goals prevented
0.750.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Alan Kardec , Zapelli B. (A),
  • 39', Thomas Luciano , Akapo C. ,
  • 42', Rafael Vitor 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Durmisi R. , Torres J. ,
  • 46', Rafael Tavares , Bruno Ramires ,
  • 63', Wellington Nascimento 🟨,
  • 66', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 68', Rodriguez A. , Luan Silva ,
  • 68', Gabriel Domingos , Cocote ,
  • 76', Zapelli B. , Joao Cruz ,
  • 83', Alan Kardec , Renan Peixoto ,
  • 83', Felipinho , Tevis ,
  • 85', Bruno Ramires 🟨,
  • 90+2', Luan Silva 🟥,

Chances of winning


Amazonas
23.4%
Draw
31.4%
Athletico Paranaense
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 32.2% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 30.6% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Amazonas - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.97
    (3.49)
    2.96
    (2.91)
    2.08
    (2.29)
    7.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Amazonas - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 10).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Athletico PR is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Bruno Ramires (Inactive) Castrillon N. (Inactive) Joao Lopes (Inactive) Renan (Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Inactive) Palacios H. (Inactive) Renan Viana (Inactive) Velasco K. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Amazonas: Diego Borges (Inactive) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Amazonas
    22.06.2025 Amazonas - Vila Nova 2:1
    15.06.2025 Criciúma - Amazonas 3:2
    09.06.2025 Amazonas - Athletic Club 1:0
    02.06.2025 Chapecoense - Amazonas 4:0
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias17113323:131036
    2Coritiba17103418:11733
    3Novorizontino1787222:121031
    4Remo1768319:15426
    5Cuiaba1774619:20-125
    6Avai1767420:18225
    7Vila Nova FC1773715:16-124
    8Chapecoense-SC1672720:16423
    9Athletico-PR1772821:23-223
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11CRB1764716:16022
    12Atletico GO1757518:17122
    13Athletic Club17701020:24-421
    14America MG1662817:20-320
    15Operario-PR1754818:20-219
    16Paysandu PA1746716:19-318
    17Ferroviaria1746717:21-418
    18Botafogo SP1646612:17-518
    19Volta Redonda1746710:16-618
    20Amazonas1635813:23-1014

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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