Sporting de Gijón vs Almería: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Molinón (Gijón).

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 28
Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	2.16
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Goal Attempts
14	20
Shots on Goal
5	8
Shots off Goal
4	10
Blocked Shots
5	2
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
10	4
Shots inside the Box
10	15
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
7	4
Free Kicks
12	17
Offsides
3	1
Fouls
17	12
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
22	21
Touches in the Opposition Box
28	29
Passes
84% (333/397)	80% (256/320)
Passes in the final third
75% (104/138)	70% (66/94)
Crosses
23% (8/35)	47% (7/15)
Tackles
68% (15/22)	65% (11/17)
Clearances Total
20	39
Interceptions
8	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pier R. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
59', Kaiky 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Caicedo J. (Pen),
64', Maras N. 🟨,
66', Serrano N. 🟨,
69', Leo Baptistao ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
69', Centelles A. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
71', Serrano N. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
76', Martin N. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
80', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
81', Vazquez K. ↓, Rosas G. ↑,
81', Dubasin J. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
81', Robertone L. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
82', Kaiky 🟨,
88', Langa B. 🟨,
90+4', Suarez L. ↓, Marezi ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4r6vvbd5

Chances of winning

Sporting de Gijón
35.5%

Draw
28.9%

Almería
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

30.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Sporting de Gijón - Almería Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.51)	3.21 ↑ (3.01)	2.63 ↓ (2.89)	6.9% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sporting de Gijón - Almería?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 1.
Recent matches Sporting de Gijón is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Almería is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Campos G. (Injury) Curbelo E. (Muscle Injury) Olaetxea L. (Yellow Cards) Otero J. (Injury) Queipo D. (Injury)
There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Clua Oya S. (Red Card) Fettal R. (Injury) Gui Guedes (Injury)
There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Caicedo J. (Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.2:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Almería?

Sporting de Gijón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Sporting de Gijón?

Almería has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting de Gijón - Almería were as follows:

31.08.2024 Almería - Sporting de Gijón 1:1

Latest results of Sporting de Gijón

16.02.2025 Levante - Sporting de Gijón 0:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Eibar 0:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Burgos 2:0 ✺

26.01.2025 Granada - Sporting de Gijón 3:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Elche 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Almería

17.02.2025 Almería - Elche 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería 3:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:1 ✺

26.01.2025 Albacete Balompié - Almería 2:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Almería - Huesca 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Elche	39	20	11	8	52:32	20	71
2	Levante	39	19	13	7	64:40	24	70
3	Mirandes	39	20	8	11	54:38	16	68
4	Racing Santander	39	19	10	10	60:45	15	67
5	R. Oviedo	39	18	12	9	52:41	11	66
6	Almeria	39	17	11	11	68:55	13	62
7	Granada CF	38	16	11	11	59:47	12	59
8	Huesca	38	16	10	12	51:39	12	58
9	Burgos CF	39	15	9	15	37:42	-5	54
10	Cordoba	39	14	12	13	56:56	0	54
11	Dep. La Coruna	39	13	14	12	54:46	8	53
12	Cadiz CF	39	13	13	13	50:50	0	52
13	Albacete	38	13	12	13	51:53	-2	51
14	Gijon	39	12	14	13	51:50	1	50
15	Malaga	39	11	16	12	38:41	-3	49
16	Castellon	39	13	10	16	59:59	0	49
17	Eibar	38	12	13	13	37:39	-2	49
18	Zaragoza	39	12	12	15	54:58	-4	48
19	Eldense	39	11	10	18	38:56	-18	43
20	Tenerife ✔	38	8	11	19	35:51	-16	35
21	Racing Club Ferrol ✔	38	5	11	22	21:60	-39	26
22	FC Cartagena SAD ✔	39	5	5	29	29:72	-43	20

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Tenerife is Relegated to
Racing Club Ferrol is Relegated to
FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Sporting de Gijón - Almería?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+