Almería vs Sporting de Gijón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Almería - Sporting de Gijón
Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 6
Almería - Sporting de Gijón - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Almería - Sporting de Gijón live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.08
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
249
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
90% (560/623)77% (229/298)
Yellow Cards
47
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.451.02
Total shots
249
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3920
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
715
Passes
90% (560/623)77% (229/298)
Long passes
51% (22/43)33% (20/60)
Passes in final third
87% (210/242)64% (53/83)
Crosses
19% (6/32)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.74
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
157
Tackles
64% (7/11)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
821
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.022.45
Goals prevented
0.020.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Campos G. , Otero J. (A),
  • 25', Lopy D. , Gui Guedes ,
  • 45+4', Rosas G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Melamed N. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 46', Leo Baptistao , Thalys ,
  • 51', Rosas G. 🟨,
  • 51', Otero J. 🟨,
  • 52', Corredera A. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Embarba A. , Puigmal A. (A),
  • 57', Dubasin J. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 58', Gelabert Pina C. , Martin N. ,
  • 68', Campos G. , Garcia P. ,
  • 68', Smith J. , Cortes O. ,
  • 69', Baba I. , Horta A. ,
  • 75', Thalys 🟨,
  • 76', Horta A. 🟨,
  • 79', Vazquez P. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Arribas S. , Puigmal A. (A),
  • 88', Perrin L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Sanchez D. , Caicedo J. ,
  • 90+5', Munoz A. , Centelles A. ,
  • 90+8', Bonini F. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Corredera A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdday4ye

Chances of winning


Almería
46.1%
Draw
27.2%
Sporting de Gijón
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 24% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 25.9% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting de Gijón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Almería - Sporting de Gijón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.7)
    3.68
    (4)
    3.73
    (4.91)
    -1.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Almería - Sporting de Gijón?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Coundoul A. (Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almería won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Almería 1:1
    31.08.2024 Almería - Sporting de Gijón 1:1
    Latest results of Almería
    13.09.2025 Valladolid - Almería 3:1
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna844017:61116
    2Racing Santander851221:14716
    3Cadiz CF84319:6315
    4Andorra842213:10314
    5Las Palmas84228:5314
    6Huesca84138:10-213
    7Burgos CF833213:9412
    8Valladolid83329:6312
    9Almeria833214:14012
    10Eibar832310:7311
    11Castellon832313:12111
    12Ceuta83238:12-411
    13Leganes82428:7110
    14Albacete823314:16-29
    15Gijon830511:14-39
    16Cordoba82339:12-39
    17Mirandes82249:12-38
    18Granada CF822411:15-48
    19Malaga82246:10-48
    20Cultural Leonesa82247:12-58
    21Zaragoza81344:8-46
    22Real Sociedad B813411:16-56

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Almería - Sporting de Gijón?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
    asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
    ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
    franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 8
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDSports 9
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan