Almería vs Málaga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Almería - Málaga
Result
2:2
01/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)
Almería - Málaga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.34
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
199
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
84
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1213
Offsides
21
Fouls
1312
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
2712
Touches in the Opposition Box
3510
Passes
81% (316/391)79% (285/359)
Passes in the final third
64% (74/115)62% (47/76)
Crosses
46% (11/24)27% (3/11)
Tackles
63% (10/16)75% (12/16)
Clearances Total
1319
Interceptions
137

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Ochoa A. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Leo Baptistao , Lopy D. (A),
  • 24', Medina K. 🟨,
  • 27', Enriquez R. , Merino I. ,
  • 33', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Chupe , Baturina R. ,
  • 46', Medina K. , Cordero A. ,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Arribas S. , Centelles A. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Sanchez D. , Luismi (A),
  • 61', 2 - 2, Cordero A. (Pen),
  • 64', Pozo A. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 65', Clua Oya S. , Melero G. ,
  • 68', Luismi 🟨,
  • 75', Leo Baptistao , Melamed N. ,
  • 75', Arribas S. , Lazaro ,
  • 75', Ochoa A. , Juanpe ,
  • 80', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
  • 89', Suarez L. (Pen),
  • 90', Lobete J. , Rahmani Y. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yckd4swc

Chances of winning


Almería
64.6%
Draw
21%
Málaga
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 21.9% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 22.8% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Almería - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.48)
    4.36
    (4.24)
    6.55
    (6.14)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Almería - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 3.
    • Almería is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Almería could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Almería is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Gui Guedes (Injury) Kaiky (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Almería won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:16 (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Málaga were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Málaga - Almería 1:1
    27.07.2024 Málaga - Almería 0:1
    27.07.2023 Almería - Málaga 0:1
    Latest results of Almería
    Latest results of Málaga
    21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0
    15.02.2025 Cartagena - Málaga 0:1
    08.02.2025 Málaga - Levante 1:1
    01.02.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 2:1
    26.01.2025 Málaga - Zaragoza 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Almería - Málaga?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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