Almería vs Málaga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Power Horse Stadium (Almería).

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 29
Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.02	1.34
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Goal Attempts
19	9
Shots on Goal
6	3
Shots off Goal
8	4
Blocked Shots
5	2
Big Chances
7	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Shots inside the Box
15	4
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
Free Kicks
12	13
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
13	12
Yellow Cards
1	4
Throw-ins
27	12
Touches in the Opposition Box
35	10
Passes
81% (316/391)	79% (285/359)
Passes in the final third
64% (74/115)	62% (47/76)
Crosses
46% (11/24)	27% (3/11)
Tackles
63% (10/16)	75% (12/16)
Clearances Total
13	19
Interceptions
13	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Ochoa A. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Leo Baptistao ⚽, Lopy D. (A),
24', Medina K. 🟨,
27', Enriquez R. ↓, Merino I. ↑,
33', Monte N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Chupe ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
46', Medina K. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Arribas S. ⚽, Centelles A. (A),
55', 2 - 1, Sanchez D. ⚽, Luismi (A),
61', 2 - 2, Cordero A. (Pen),
64', Pozo A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
65', Clua Oya S. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
68', Luismi 🟨,
75', Leo Baptistao ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
75', Arribas S. ↓, Lazaro ↑,
75', Ochoa A. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
80', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
89', Suarez L. (Pen),
90', Lobete J. ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yckd4swc

Chances of winning

Almería
64.6%

Draw
21%

Málaga
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.9%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

22.8%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Almería - Málaga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	4.36 ↑ (4.24)	6.55 ↑ (6.14)	6.4% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Almería - Málaga?

The most likely score is 2:0.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 3.
Almería is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Almería could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Almería is a favorite.
There will not play in Almería: Gui Guedes (Injury) Kaiky (Red Card)
There will not play in Málaga: Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Almería won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:16 (average 1.1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.8:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Málaga?

Almería has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Almería?

Málaga has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Málaga were as follows:

08.12.2024 Málaga - Almería 1:1

27.07.2024 Málaga - Almería 0:1

27.07.2023 Almería - Málaga 0:1

Latest results of Almería

22.02.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Almería 1:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Almería - Elche 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería 3:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:1 ✺

26.01.2025 Albacete Balompié - Almería 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Málaga

21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Cartagena - Málaga 0:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Málaga - Levante 1:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 2:1 ✺

26.01.2025 Málaga - Zaragoza 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levante	40	20	13	7	65:40	25	73
2	Elche	40	20	11	9	53:34	19	71
3	R. Oviedo	40	19	12	9	53:41	12	69
4	Mirandes	39	20	8	11	54:38	16	68
5	Racing Santander	40	19	10	11	60:47	13	67
6	Almeria	40	18	11	11	70:55	15	65
7	Granada CF	40	17	11	12	62:51	11	62
8	Huesca	40	17	10	13	55:43	12	61
9	Eibar	40	14	13	13	40:39	1	55
10	Cordoba	39	14	12	13	56:56	0	54
11	Albacete	40	14	12	14	54:56	-2	54
12	Burgos CF	40	15	9	16	37:43	-6	54
13	Dep. La Coruna	40	13	14	13	56:49	7	53
14	Cadiz CF	40	13	13	14	50:51	-1	52
15	Malaga	40	12	16	12	40:42	-2	52
16	Castellon	40	13	11	16	60:60	0	50
17	Gijon	40	12	14	14	52:52	0	50
18	Zaragoza	40	12	12	16	54:59	-5	48
19	Eldense	40	11	11	18	39:57	-18	44
20	Tenerife ✔	40	8	12	20	35:52	-17	36
21	Racing Club Ferrol ✔	40	6	12	22	22:60	-38	30
22	FC Cartagena SAD ✔	40	6	5	29	30:72	-42	23

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Tenerife is Relegated to
Racing Club Ferrol is Relegated to
FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Almería - Málaga?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+