Deportivo La Coruña vs Almería: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 8
Deportivo La Coruña - Almería - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.79
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
88% (384/437)89% (459/517)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.62
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3019
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
81
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
88% (384/437)89% (459/517)
Long passes
77% (40/52)53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
72% (62/86)74% (99/134)
Crosses
44% (11/25)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.78
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1113
Tackles
80% (8/10)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4033
Clearances
1117
Interceptions
918
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.620.97
Goals prevented
-0.38-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Cruz Luismi 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Bonini F. , Melamed N. (A),
  • 26', Hidalgo A. 🟨,
  • 28', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 43', Navarro X. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Dzodic S. 🟨,
  • 55', Patino C. , Eddahchouri Z. ,
  • 59', Puigmal A. , Luna M. ,
  • 60', Leo Baptistao , Soko P. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Hernandez Y. , Eddahchouri Z. (A),
  • 64', Navarro X. , Noubi L. ,
  • 64', Mulattieri S. , Stoichkov ,
  • 67', Horta A. , Baba I. ,
  • 67', Dzodic S. , Gui Guedes ,
  • 71', Baba I. 🟨,
  • 88', Villares D. , Jurado J. ,
  • 88', Cruz Luismi , Herrera C. ,
  • 89', Melamed N. , Perovic M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2tcd29t4

Chances of winning


Deportivo La Coruña
46.4%
Draw
28.5%
Almería
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 27.7% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 26.8% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo La Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Deportivo La Coruña - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.05)
    3.29
    (3.44)
    3.74
    (3.69)
    6.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo La Coruña will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo La Coruña will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 1.
    • Deportivo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Deportivo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Deportivo: Escudero S. (Muscle Injury) Mella D. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Almería: Embarba A. (Red Card) Lopy D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Deportivo: Gragera J. (Injury) Jurado J. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Coruña - Almería were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería 3:1
    17.11.2024 Almería - Deportivo La Coruña 2:1
    Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
    Latest results of Almería
    27.09.2025 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1
    13.09.2025 Valladolid - Almería 3:1
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna844017:61116
    2Racing Santander851221:14716
    3Cadiz CF84319:6315
    4Andorra842213:10314
    5Las Palmas84228:5314
    6Huesca84138:10-213
    7Burgos CF833213:9412
    8Valladolid83329:6312
    9Almeria833214:14012
    10Eibar832310:7311
    11Castellon832313:12111
    12Ceuta83238:12-411
    13Leganes82428:7110
    14Albacete823314:16-29
    15Gijon830511:14-39
    16Cordoba82339:12-39
    17Mirandes82249:12-38
    18Granada CF822411:15-48
    19Malaga82246:10-48
    20Cultural Leonesa82247:12-58
    21Zaragoza81344:8-46
    22Real Sociedad B813411:16-56

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo La Coruña - Almería?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
    ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDSports 9
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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