Burgos vs Almería: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Plantío (Burgos).

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 32
Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	0.74
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Goal Attempts
7	11
Shots on Goal
5	4
Shots off Goal
1	4
Blocked Shots
1	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
Free Kicks
18	16
Offsides
2	0
Fouls
16	18
Yellow Cards
5	4
Throw-ins
20	32
Touches in the Opposition Box
12	13
Passes
75% (250/333)	78% (315/402)
Passes in the final third
60% (56/94)	51% (49/97)
Crosses
13% (1/8)	27% (6/22)
Tackles
64% (9/14)	33% (3/9)
Clearances Total
32	7
Interceptions
16	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Exposito M. ⚽, Miguel F. (A),
16', Kaiky 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Melero G. ⚽, Robertone L. (A),
32', Robertone L. 🟨,
42', Cordoba A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kaiky ↓, Clua Oya S. ↑,
56', Puigmal A. 🟨,
60', Exposito M. 🟨,
65', Puigmal A. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
65', Robertone L. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Nino F. ⚽, Curro (A),
69', Ojeda D. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
70', Curro 🟨,
76', Pubill M. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
76', Melero G. ↓, Lazaro ↑,
81', Curro ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Cordoba I. ⚽,
86', Alex ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
86', Exposito M. ↓, Morante I. ↑,
90+1', Lazaro 🟨,
90+1', Arroyo A. 🟨,
90+8', Cantero A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3umkfbjx

Chances of winning

Burgos
29.9%

Draw
30.9%

Almería
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.7%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.1%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Burgos - Almería Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	2.42 ↑ (2.36)	6.1% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Burgos - Almería?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 7).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Almería will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Knee Injury) Curro (Personal Reasons) Elady (Muscle Injury) Espiau Hernandez E. D. (Yellow Cards) Quintanilla R. (Loan agreement) Sanchez B. (Red Card)
There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Chumi (Muscle Injury) Fettal R. (Knee Injury) Langa B. (International duty) Lopy D. (International duty)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Almería?

Burgos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Burgos?

Almería has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Almería were as follows:

05.10.2024 Almería - Burgos 2:0

Latest results of Burgos

15.03.2025 Cartagena - Burgos 0:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Burgos - Albacete Balompié 1:0 ✺

05.03.2025 Ferrol - Burgos 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Burgos - Real Oviedo 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Almería

15.03.2025 Almería - Zaragoza 4:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Eibar - Almería 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Almería 1:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Almería - Elche 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levante	40	20	13	7	65:40	25	73
2	Elche	40	20	11	9	53:34	19	71
3	R. Oviedo	40	19	12	9	53:41	12	69
4	Mirandes	39	20	8	11	54:38	16	68
5	Racing Santander	40	19	10	11	60:47	13	67
6	Almeria	40	18	11	11	70:55	15	65
7	Granada CF	40	17	11	12	62:51	11	62
8	Huesca	40	17	10	13	55:43	12	61
9	Eibar	40	14	13	13	40:39	1	55
10	Cordoba	39	14	12	13	56:56	0	54
11	Albacete	40	14	12	14	54:56	-2	54
12	Burgos CF	40	15	9	16	37:43	-6	54
13	Dep. La Coruna	40	13	14	13	56:49	7	53
14	Cadiz CF	40	13	13	14	50:51	-1	52
15	Malaga	40	12	16	12	40:42	-2	52
16	Castellon	40	13	11	16	60:60	0	50
17	Gijon	40	12	14	14	52:52	0	50
18	Zaragoza	40	12	12	16	54:59	-5	48
19	Eldense	40	11	11	18	39:57	-18	44
20	Tenerife ✔	40	8	12	20	35:52	-17	36
21	Racing Club Ferrol ✔	40	6	12	22	22:60	-38	30
22	FC Cartagena SAD ✔	40	6	5	29	30:72	-42	23

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Tenerife is Relegated to
Racing Club Ferrol is Relegated to
FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Burgos - Almería?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Portugal	DAZN 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+