Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Universidad de Huánuco: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Result
5:1
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.74
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
87% (381/437)86% (343/397)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.541.05
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1715
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
918
Passes
87% (381/437)86% (343/397)
Long passes
51% (30/59)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
66% (77/117)68% (52/76)
Crosses
20% (3/15)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.891.05
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
189
Tackles
86% (12/14)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3246
Clearances
1120
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.052.54
Goals prevented
0.05-2.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Mena Y. (Pen),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Murillo Y. ,
  • 24', Pellejero R. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 1, Barboza S. ,
  • 44', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Gomez A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Canela Torres J. J. , Sernaque J. ,
  • 46', Ynamine P. , Espinoza Gomes I. ,
  • 50', Mena Y. 🟨,
  • 56', Fernandez E. , Lujan N. ,
  • 56', Posito J. , Huaccha R. ,
  • 58', Salcedo R. 🟨,
  • 61', Campodonico R. , Ramirez N. ,
  • 68', de Jesus M. , Carabano D. ,
  • 71', Fuentes P. 🟨,
  • 73', Carabano D. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Carabano D. , Sanguinetti J. (A),
  • 78', Lliuya M. , Escobar J. ,
  • 78', Ascues C. , Vasquez Ortega E. O. ,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Huaccha R. , Sanguinetti J. (A),
  • 81', Salcedo R. , Herrera J. ,
  • 82', Sanguinetti J. , Magallanes P. ,
  • 90+3', 5 - 1, Magallanes P. , Angeles H. (A),

Chances of winning


Sport Huancayo
58.5%
Draw
23.3%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 27.2% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 28.8% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Huancayo's performance.
  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.8)
    4.02
    (3.4)
    5.12
    (4.33)
    6.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
  • Users Predictions: Sport Huancayo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 3.
    • Recent form of Huancayo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Alianza Universidad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Huancayo is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
    12.05.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Huancayo 0:1
    Latest results of Sport Huancayo
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3Deportivo Garcilaso1356217:16121
    4AD Tarma1363417:17021
    5Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    6FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    7Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    8Cienciano1253418:15318
    9Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    10Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    11Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II122559:15-611
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca121389:18-96
    19Binacional00000:000

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