Alianza Universidad de Huánuco vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco).

: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
Referee: Palomino M. (Per)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	2.64
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
11	18
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
71% (184/259)	81% (335/416)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	2.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	1.20
Total shots
11	18
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
7	7
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	2
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
17	34
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	7
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
71% (184/259)	81% (335/416)
Long passes
40% (29/72)	46% (39/84)
Passes in final third
58% (64/110)	74% (89/121)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	1.09
Throw-ins
15	21
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
78% (7/9)	65% (15/23)
Duels won
51	52
Clearances
36	17
Interceptions
4	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.20	0.90
Goals prevented
-0.58	-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽,
14', Ramos E. 🟨,
20', Mena Y. 🟨,
28', Ribonetto W. 🟨,
45+7', Ramos C. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arias A. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
46', Ramos E. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
46', Sernaque J. ↓, Aoki A. ↑,
47', Ampuero A. 🟨,
49', Liza P. 🟨,
58', Martinez T. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
62', Escobar J. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
64', Lliuya M. ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
72', Tandazo W. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
77', Llontop M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
79', Ynamine P. 🟨,
83', Guzman L. 🟨,
84', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
90+1', Aoki A. 🟨,
90+1', Aoki A. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
90+11', Lazo M. 🟨,
90+12', 1 - 1, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
25.7%

Draw
27.8%

FBC Melgar
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

25.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	3.38 ↓ (3.7)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)	6.8% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Melgar will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Universidad (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 2).
Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C. (Knee Injury) Cuesta B. (Knee Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
Including home match between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against FBC Melgar?

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?

FBC Melgar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar were as follows:

Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

19.05.2025 Alianza Lima - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 2:0 ✺

12.05.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Huancayo 0:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Sport Boys - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 4:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Atlético Grau 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Cienciano - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 0:1 ✺

Latest results of FBC Melgar

18.05.2025 FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau 1:1 ✺

13.05.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello - FBC Melgar 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Cienciano - FBC Melgar 1:2 ✺

06.05.2025 FBC Melgar - Lanús 0:1 ✺

01.05.2025 FBC Melgar - Comerciantes Unidos 1:1 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. de Deportes	16	11	2	3	37:12	25	35
2	Alianza Lima	16	10	3	3	18:10	8	33
3	Alianza Atl	16	10	1	5	27:16	11	31
4	FBC Melgar	16	8	5	3	26:18	8	29
5	Cusco	16	8	4	4	29:19	10	28
6	Sporting Cristal	16	9	1	6	28:22	6	28
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	8	3	6	28:18	10	27
8	Sport Huancayo	16	8	3	5	22:18	4	27
9	Cienciano	16	5	7	4	28:23	5	22
10	Los Chankas	16	5	6	5	23:24	-1	21
11	Sport Boys	16	5	5	6	25:25	0	20
12	AD Tarma	16	5	5	6	22:29	-7	20
13	Grau	16	4	7	5	20:22	-2	19
14	Cajamarca	16	5	3	8	17:33	-16	18
15	Binacional	16	4	5	7	18:27	-9	17
16	Juan Pablo II	15	4	3	8	18:25	-7	15
17	Comerciantes Unidos	16	2	5	9	17:29	-12	11
18	Ayacucho	16	2	3	11	12:27	-15	9
19	Alianza Huanuco	16	1	5	10	14:32	-18	8

Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz