Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Universidad de Huánuco: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Result
1:1
11/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Santos C. (Per)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.92
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
79% (211/266)83% (260/313)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.16
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
248
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
79% (211/266)83% (260/313)
Long passes
61% (30/49)55% (33/60)
Passes in final third
64% (53/83)68% (38/56)
Crosses
31% (8/26)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.19
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1316
Tackles
60% (3/5)92% (11/12)
Duels won
3343
Clearances
523
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.162.15
Goals prevented
0.161.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Vasquez Ortega E. O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Duran J. , Mendieta J. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Mena Y. , Lliuya M. (A),
  • 52', Ampuero A. 🟨,
  • 60', Erustes P. (Pen),
  • 64', Celi Y. , Arancibia F. ,
  • 71', Gallardo J. , Sinisterra J. ,
  • 72', Canela Torres J. J. , Campodonico R. ,
  • 75', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 76', Lojas J. 🟨,
  • 80', Beltran C. 🟨,
  • 83', Ascues C. , Sernaque J. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Naya E. , Arancibia F. (A),
  • 88', Lliuya M. , Fuentes P. ,
  • 90+1', Fuentes P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gomez N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
57.9%
Draw
23.9%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 22.8% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 22.4% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.7)
    3.93
    (4.1)
    5.06
    (4.2)
    7.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Garcilaso will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Deportivo Garcilaso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alianza Universidad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Canales E. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Barco J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal752016:31317
    2Cusco65109:1816
    3U. de Deportes743011:4715
    4Deportivo Garcilaso73409:4513
    5Alianza Lima73317:5212
    6Sport Huancayo723210:1009
    7FBC Melgar72327:8-19
    8Los Chankas53028:11-39
    9Cienciano62227:528
    10Alianza Huanuco62137:9-27
    11Juan Pablo II71426:8-27
    12AD Tarma62135:9-47
    13Alianza Atl61323:4-16
    14Binacional51223:5-25
    15Comerciantes Unidos61237:10-35
    16Grau61147:11-44
    17Ayacucho61145:9-44
    18Sport Boys71152:9-74
    19Cajamarca60334:8-43

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