Alianza Universidad de Huánuco vs Atlético Grau: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Atlético Grau
Result
0:0
17/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Atlético Grau - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.43
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (367/431)82% (323/394)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.00
Total shots
197
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2015
Through passes
100% (2/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
18
Free Kicks
57
Passes
85% (367/431)82% (323/394)
Long passes
46% (28/61)48% (30/63)
Passes in final third
75% (86/115)68% (78/114)
Crosses
36% (4/11)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.64
Fouls
75
Tackles
60% (6/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3937
Clearances Total
1911
Interceptions
42
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.000.53
Goals prevented
0.000.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Flores A. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 63', Aoki A. , Vasquez Ortega E. O. ,
  • 63', Oliva E. , Lliuya M. ,
  • 70', Ramos C. 🟨,
  • 76', Garro J. , F. Rojas ,
  • 80', Espinoza Vega F. E. , Ramirez N. ,
  • 80', Mena Y. , Escobar J. ,
  • 87', Sernaque J. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 90+3', Bandiera N. , Solis A. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
39.4%
Draw
29.2%
Atlético Grau
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 28% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 27.6% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Atlético Grau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.04)
    3.17
    (3.36)
    2.98
    (3.62)
    7.5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Atlético Grau?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Universidad: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 10).
    • Alianza Universidad is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Grau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Grau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Grau: Olivares C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Escobar J. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    4Alianza Atl1591525:151028
    5Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    7Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    8Cusco1574425:18725
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1547419:20-119
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco1515913:28-158

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