Alianza Universidad de Huánuco vs Alianza Atlético: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco).

: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 18

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.60
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	8
Passes
72% (190/263)	85% (324/383)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	0.07
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
16	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
9	17
Passes
72% (190/263)	85% (324/383)
Long passes
45% (29/64)	58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
63% (57/90)	65% (65/100)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	29% (10/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	0.82
Throw-ins
13	25
Fouls
17	9
Tackles
77% (10/13)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
45	50
Clearances
30	25
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.07	1.37
Goals prevented
0.07	-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Otavio Gut 🟨,
40', Cossio A. 🟨,
44', Perleche A. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
46', Castro R. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
63', Fernandez S. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
63', Cossio A. ↓, Vasquez C. ↑,
71', Escobar J. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
71', Campodonico R. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
71', Perleche E. ↓, Gordillo A. ↑,
76', Ramirez N. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
79', Ynamine P. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
85', 2 - 0, Mena Y. ⚽, Sernaque J. (A),

Chances of winning

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
37.1%

Draw
29.3%

Alianza Atlético
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

26.8%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's form might have worsened.

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Atlético's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (1.73)	3.17 ↓ (3.6)	2.77 ↓ (4.7)	7.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Alianza Atlético (votes: 7 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Atlético will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Alianza Universidad is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Alianza Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Alianza Atlético?

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?

Alianza Atlético has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético were as follows:

Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

29.06.2025 Cusco - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 4:1 ✺

20.06.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cajamarca 1:2 ✺

15.06.2025 Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 1:1 ✺

23.05.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar 1:1 ✺

19.05.2025 Alianza Lima - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Atlético

29.06.2025 Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau 2:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Cienciano - Alianza Atlético 3:2 ✺

12.06.2025 Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos 3:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético 1:2 ✺

16.05.2025 Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. de Deportes	10	7	3	0	18:8	10	24
2	Cusco	9	6	1	2	13:8	5	19
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	10	4	6	0	14:8	6	18
4	Sporting Cristal	9	4	4	1	15:5	10	16
5	AD Tarma	10	5	1	4	11:12	-1	16
6	Alianza Lima	9	4	3	2	14:9	5	15
7	FBC Melgar	11	3	5	3	16:13	3	14
8	Grau	10	4	2	4	15:13	2	14
9	Cienciano	9	3	3	3	14:12	2	12
10	Sport Huancayo	11	3	3	5	17:19	-2	12
11	Comerciantes Unidos	10	3	3	4	11:15	-4	12
12	Los Chankas	8	4	0	4	12:20	-8	12
13	Alianza Atl	9	2	4	3	6:4	2	10
14	Juan Pablo II	9	2	4	3	8:10	-2	10
15	Ayacucho	10	3	1	6	8:14	-6	10
16	Alianza Huanuco	10	3	1	6	11:18	-7	10
17	Sport Boys	11	2	3	6	8:15	-7	9
18	Cajamarca	9	0	3	6	6:14	-8	3
19	Binacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético?

It is being streamed on channel


Peru	Liga 1 Max