Deportivo La Equidad vs Alianza Valledupar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá).

: Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.36
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
85% (428/506)	75% (223/296)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.81	0.47
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
18	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
85% (428/506)	75% (223/296)
Long passes
46% (32/70)	47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
70% (98/140)	64% (39/61)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	0.23
Throw-ins
27	21
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
75% (6/8)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
32	26
Clearances
13	21
Interceptions
10	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.47	0.81
Goals prevented
-1.53	0.81

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Castillo J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Vergara C. ⚽,
40', Cruz W. 🟨,
43', Manjarres R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Torralvo A. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
54', Mayo S. 🟨,
58', Castillo J. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
58', Manjarres R. ↓, Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↑,
59', Aponza Cantonil S. A. 🟨,
64', Cruz W. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
64', Acosta F. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
66', Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Munoz J. ⚽, Perez L. (A),
80', Gil M. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
81', Vergara C. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
84', Mayo S. ↓, Paternina C. ↑,
87', Abonia Y. 🟨,
90+4', Fernandez W. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc6rdatp

Chances of winning

Deportivo La Equidad
46.1%

Draw
31.1%

Alianza Valledupar
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deportivo La Equidad have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	4.08 ↑ (3.6)	6.6% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
La Equidad could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Alianza Valledupar?

Deportivo La Equidad has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportivo La Equidad?

Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:

02.11.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 3:2

14.04.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad 0:3

23.08.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0

04.03.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 1:1

16.09.2022 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad 1:2

Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad

26.04.2025 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - América de Cali 2:0 ✺

16.04.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad 3:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

26.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar 0:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Envigado 1:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	19	10	5	4	35:18	17	35
2	Millonarios ✔	19	10	5	4	26:15	11	35
3	Junior ✔	19	9	7	3	23:14	9	34
4	America De Cali ✔	18	9	6	3	25:12	13	33
5	Santa Fe ✔	19	9	6	4	27:17	10	33
6	Deportes Tolima ✔	18	9	6	3	26:16	10	33
7	Ind. Medellin	18	7	8	3	17:9	8	29
8	Dep. Pasto	19	8	5	6	19:18	1	29
9	Once Caldas	18	8	3	7	22:22	0	27
10	Bucaramanga	19	7	5	7	22:19	3	26
11	Alianza	19	7	5	7	17:20	-3	26
12	Pereira	18	6	7	5	19:19	0	25
13	Dep. Cali	19	5	9	5	14:16	-2	24
14	Fortaleza	19	5	5	9	15:24	-9	20
15	Chico	19	4	8	7	12:27	-15	20
16	Aguilas	19	3	9	7	15:18	-3	18
17	Envigado	19	5	3	11	15:27	-12	18
18	Llaneros	18	5	2	11	17:24	-7	17
19	La Equidad	19	2	4	13	13:32	-19	10
20	U. Magdalena	17	0	8	9	13:25	-12	8

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Millonarios is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Santa Fe is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	ViX Latin America