Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Cali: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar).

: Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.65	0.94
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
76% (201/265)	85% (393/462)
Yellow Cards
4	7
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65	0.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.38	0.09
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
2	6
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
11	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	16
Passes
76% (201/265)	85% (393/462)
Long passes
53% (26/49)	61% (41/67)
Passes in final third
69% (59/86)	71% (123/174)
Crosses
6% (1/16)	29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.30	1.45
Throw-ins
7	23
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
82% (9/11)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
32	39
Clearances
33	21
Interceptions
2	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.09	0.38
Goals prevented
0.09	-1.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Bustamante R. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Pardo F. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Pardo F. ⚽, Vergara C. (A),
23', Bustamante R. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
45+1', Castillo J. 🟨,
45+5', Moreno J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Viafara F. 🟨,
58', Castillo J. ↓, Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↑,
58', Manjarres R. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
58', Viafara F. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
58', Colorado J. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
61', Munoz J. 🟨,
64', Mejia V. 🟨,
65', Mendoza Benitez D. A. 🟨,
69', Pardo F. 🟨,
70', Mejia V. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
70', Rodriguez E. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
78', Munoz J. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
78', Vergara C. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
84', Pardo F. ↓, Caracas Torres J. S. ↑,
89', Angulo J. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5d4xhpay

Chances of winning

Alianza Valledupar
39.1%

Draw
32.3%

Deportivo Cali
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.12)	2.93 ↓ (3.25)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	5.6% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Valledupar will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 0.
Alianza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo Cali's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportivo Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportivo Cali?

Alianza Valledupar has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Alianza Valledupar?

Deportivo Cali has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali were as follows:

22.07.2024 Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar 1:0

26.01.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali 3:3

01.10.2023 Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar 1:0

22.04.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali 0:3

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

02.05.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 0:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Cali

03.05.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 América de Cali - Deportivo Cali 2:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional 1:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali 2:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Apertura - Quadrangular

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Medellin	3	2	1	0	5:2	3	7
2	America De Cali	3	1	2	0	4:3	1	5
3	Deportes Tolima	3	0	2	1	3:5	-2	2
4	Junior	3	0	1	2	2:4	-2	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santa Fe	3	2	0	1	4:3	1	6
2	Millonarios	3	1	2	0	1:0	1	5
3	Atl. Nacional	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
4	Once Caldas	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)

Which TV channels are streaming of Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz