Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Valledupar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar
Result
3:0
08/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 6
Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.59
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (376/435)83% (280/338)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.27
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
159
Passes
86% (376/435)83% (280/338)
Long passes
64% (42/66)39% (11/28)
Passes in final third
74% (87/117)71% (82/116)
Crosses
17% (2/12)9% (2/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.37
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
915
Tackles
63% (5/8)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3836
Clearances
3118
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.271.67
Goals prevented
0.27-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Batista F. , Bauza J. (A),
  • 28', Manjarres R. 🟨,
  • 37', Garcia S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Manjarres R. , Munoz J. ,
  • 46', Osorio J. , Del Valle A. ,
  • 52', Mosquera F. 🟨,
  • 55', Batista F. , Morelos A. ,
  • 63', Pardo F. , Munoz J. ,
  • 63', Mosquera F. , Perez L. ,
  • 63', Saldana L. 🟨,
  • 68', Arce B. , Sarmiento A. ,
  • 68', Moreno M. , Hinestroza M. ,
  • 74', Bauza J. , Cardona E. ,
  • 74', Rivero E. , Zapata J. ,
  • 77', Rosales Y. , Moreno K. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Zapata J. , Hinestroza M. (A),
  • 90', 3 - 0, Sarmiento A. , Cardona E. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/sp7be2u4

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
60.5%
Draw
24.2%
Alianza Valledupar
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 23.6% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 23% 14.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.53)
    3.91
    (3.97)
    6.27
    (6.18)
    6.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:16. (average 2.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional 3:2
    19.09.2024 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 2:1
    16.09.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional 1:1
    17.07.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional 0:2
    21.01.2024 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 3:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Atl. Nacional632111:5611
    3Llaneros53206:1511
    4Fortaleza52308:629
    5Santa Fe52306:429
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Dep. Cali61327:11-46
    10Dep. Pasto31206:515
    11Envigado41215:505
    12Chico51226:7-15
    13La Equidad51223:5-25
    14U. Magdalena51223:7-45
    15Alianza61235:10-55
    16Bucaramanga31116:514
    17America De Cali31113:304
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Millonarios40133:6-31
    20Once Caldas40135:9-41

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin play
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
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