Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima
Result
0:0
24/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.32
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
81% (267/331)79% (257/326)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.230.00
Total shots
175
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
71
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
184
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
81% (267/331)79% (257/326)
Long passes
48% (19/40)63% (34/54)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)63% (52/83)
Crosses
29% (5/17)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.11
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
1014
Tackles
77% (10/13)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4030
Clearances
1632
Interceptions
101
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.000.23
Goals prevented
0.000.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Castillo J. 🟨,
  • 12', Barcos H. 🟨,
  • 12', Valera A. 🟨,
  • 14', Flores E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Garces R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Zambrano C. 🟨,
  • 63', Quevedo K. 🟥,
  • 67', Burlamaqui A. , Aquino P. ,
  • 67', Barcos H. , Cantero A. ,
  • 69', Concha J. , Velez J. ,
  • 69', Castillo J. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 75', Pena S. , Archimbaud J. ,
  • 75', Perez M. , Rivera J. ,
  • 81', Velez J. 🟨,
  • 82', Flores E. , Diego Churin ,
  • 82', Valera A. , Calcaterra H. ,
  • 88', Castillo E. , Chavez G. ,
  • 90+8', Garces R. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
44.8%
Draw
33.4%
Alianza Lima
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 33.8% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 35.2% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.13)
    2.76
    (2.76)
    4.26
    (4.17)
    7.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: Universitario de Deportes will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Universitario de Deportes will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3.
    • Recent performances by Uni de Deportes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alianza Lima is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Alianza Lima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Uni de Deportes is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Urena R. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Alianza Lima: Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cari P. (Muscle Injury) Paolo Guerrero (Injury) Zambrano C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes 1:1
    26.07.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima 2:1
    10.02.2024 Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes 0:1
    08.11.2023 Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes 0:2
    04.11.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima 1:1
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco861111:5619
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7AD Tarma941410:12-213
    8Cienciano933314:12212
    9Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    10Los Chankas840412:20-812
    11Grau932412:12011
    12Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    13Alianza Atl82426:3310
    14Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys101365:13-86
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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