Alianza Lima vs Universitario de Deportes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.260.42
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
66% (123/187)83% (321/385)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.260.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.250.45
Total shots
57
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
23
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
810
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
66% (123/187)83% (321/385)
Long passes
49% (26/53)58% (26/45)
Passes in final third
46% (33/72)73% (83/114)
Crosses
8% (1/13)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.01
Fouls
1319
Tackles
89% (8/9)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4630
Clearances Total
3132
Interceptions
92
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.450.25
Goals prevented
-0.55-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
  • 16', Lavandeira Hernandez P. 🟥,
  • 35', Murrugarra J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Quevedo K. , Castillo E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Concha J. , Rivera J. ,
  • 49', Carabali J. 🟨,
  • 56', Carabali J. , Velez J. ,
  • 56', Murrugarra J. , Calcaterra H. ,
  • 67', Quevedo K. , Castillo J. ,
  • 69', Urena R. , Costa G. ,
  • 72', Calcaterra H. 🟨,
  • 74', Flores E. , Diego Churin ,
  • 77', Paolo Guerrero , Gaibor F. ,
  • 79', Riveros W. 🟨,
  • 80', Cantero A. , Lagos R. ,
  • 84', Castillo J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Rivera J. ,
  • 90+5', Rivera J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
41.7%
Draw
30.3%
Universitario de Deportes
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 31.6% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 32.4% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.54)
    3.04
    (3)
    3.34
    (3.04)
    7.8%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 0.
    • Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Uni de Deportes is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Uni de Deportes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Uni de Deportes have a series of home games.
    • Alianza Lima will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Trauco M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M. (Injury) Perez M. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:24 (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
    26.07.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima 2:1
    10.02.2024 Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes 0:1
    08.11.2023 Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes 0:2
    04.11.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima 1:1
    22.07.2023 Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes 0:0
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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