Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima
Result
1:2
31/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.49
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
210
Passes
56% (148/265)77% (352/460)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.452.06
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
210
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
116
Passes
56% (148/265)77% (352/460)
Long passes
28% (21/76)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
47% (44/93)70% (123/175)
Crosses
36% (4/11)23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.13
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
611
Tackles
65% (13/20)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5455
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.060.45
Goals prevented
0.06-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Toledo J. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Alfani R. , Tizon C. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Quevedo K. , Ceppelini P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Burlamaqui A. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Quevedo K. , Barcos H. (A),
  • 74', Fernandez R. , Peralta M. ,
  • 75', Affonso M. , Rojas A. ,
  • 75', Ramirez C. , Vega J. ,
  • 84', Quevedo K. , Succar M. ,
  • 88', Burlamaqui A. , Castillo J. ,
  • 88', Ceppelini P. , Archimbaud J. ,
  • 90+7', Tizon C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo II College
13.7%
Draw
22.9%
Alianza Lima
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 26.3% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 25.8% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo II College's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.72
    (3.9)
    3.99
    (3.55)
    1.49
    (1.88)
    6.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alianza Lima is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Juan Pablo II: Rodriguez N. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Alianza Lima: Delgado J. (Broken nose) Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cari P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Juan Pablo II College 1:0
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    23.07.2025 Grêmio - Alianza Lima 1:1
    19.07.2025 Cusco - Alianza Lima 2:0
    16.07.2025 Alianza Lima - Grêmio 2:0
    12.07.2025 Cajamarca - Alianza Lima 0:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal541011:01113
    2U. de Deportes541010:3713
    3Cusco44008:1712
    4Deportivo Garcilaso42206:248
    5Alianza Lima52214:408
    6Sport Huancayo52128:807
    7AD Tarma42022:4-26
    8Cienciano51226:515
    9FBC Melgar51223:5-25
    10Binacional31112:204
    11Grau31114:5-14
    12Juan Pablo II41126:8-24
    13Ayacucho51134:7-34
    14Sport Boys51131:6-54
    15Alianza Atl40311:3-23
    16Alianza Huanuco41034:7-33
    17Los Chankas31023:8-53
    18Comerciantes Unidos40224:7-32
    19Cajamarca30122:4-21

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