Result
0:1
28/06/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
Advertisement
Watch and bet FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 1.26 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
85% (383/451) | 76% (218/287) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 1.26 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.90 | 0.87 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
85% (383/451) | 76% (218/287) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (40/73) | 52% (26/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (94/124) | 50% (35/70) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (8/33) | 14% (1/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.76 | 0.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (15/24) | 83% (10/12) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.87 | 0.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.13 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Zambrano C. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 57', Barcos H. 🟨,
- 58', Quevedo K. 🟨,
- 58', Martinez T. 🟨,
- 60', Tandazo W. 🟨,
- 65', Cantero A. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
- 65', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 69', Bordacahar C. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
- 74', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 74', Quevedo K. ↓, Soyer B. ↑,
- 81', Cuesta B. 🟨,
- 83', Orzan H. 🟨,
- 84', 0 - 1, Gaibor F. (Pen),
- 85', Guzman L. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 85', Lazo M. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
- 88', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 90+6', Barrios P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar 49.6% | Draw 29.1% | Alianza Lima 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (2.2) |
3.18 ↓ (3.2) |
4.33 ↑ (3.39) |
7.6% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
- In recent matches, Melgar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Lima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Melgar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Melgar is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Melgar: Cabrera Nakamura K. G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cantero A.
(Muscle Injury)
Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
Trauco M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Lima?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against FBC Melgar?
Alianza Lima has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima were as follows:
28.09.2024
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
28.04.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
1:0
28.09.2023
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
19.05.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
12.11.2022
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
2:0
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 37:12 | 25 | 35 |
2 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 33 |
3 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26:18 | 8 | 29 |
4 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 27 |
6 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Cusco | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 |
8 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 28:23 | 5 | 22 |
10 | Los Chankas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 21 |
11 | Sport Boys | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 20 |
12 | AD Tarma | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Cajamarca | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
15 | Binacional | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
16 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 11 |
18 | Ayacucho | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 9 |
19 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |