Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima
Result
0:1
14/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.28
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
72% (173/239)81% (289/357)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.430.43
Total shots
175
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1717
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
910
Passes
72% (173/239)81% (289/357)
Long passes
46% (21/46)57% (34/60)
Passes in final third
61% (62/102)61% (59/97)
Crosses
39% (12/31)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.65
Fouls
109
Tackles
73% (11/15)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4551
Clearances Total
2338
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.430.43
Goals prevented
-0.570.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Enrique G. , Huaman M. ,
  • 13', Beltran C. 🟨,
  • 20', Erustes P. 🟨,
  • 25', Quevedo K. 🟨,
  • 38', Nunez O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero , Gaibor F. (A),
  • 62', Gomez N. 🟨,
  • 63', Quevedo K. , Aguirre G. ,
  • 65', Gariglio I. , Celi Y. ,
  • 70', Aguirre G. 🟨,
  • 78', Naya E. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 81', D'Arrigo J. , Velasquez J. ,
  • 81', Paolo Guerrero , Barcos H. ,
  • 85', Nunez O. , Moreno X. ,
  • 86', Sandoval K. , Bazan J. ,
  • 90+5', Moreno X. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
42%
Draw
31.7%
Alianza Lima
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 28% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 27.4% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.
  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Garcilaso that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.86)
    2.94
    (3.35)
    3.54
    (2.4)
    7.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Garcilaso: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alianza Lima is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Deportivo Garcilaso will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Garcia C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J. (Inactive) Cantero A. (Injury) Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Red Card)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima 1:2
    19.05.2024 Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 3:2
    29.10.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima 0:1
    10.06.2023 Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 3:2
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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