Boca Juniors vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima
Result
2:2 penalties
25/02/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.560.23
Ball Possession
79%21%
Goal Attempts
256
Shots on Goal
112
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
131
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
19
Free Kicks
105
Offsides
12
Fouls
510
Yellow Cards
35
Throw-ins
1416
Touches in the Opposition Box
303
Passes
87% (489/560)70% (112/160)
Passes in the final third
77% (152/197)49% (22/45)
Crosses
23% (11/48)50% (1/2)
Tackles
78% (18/23)90% (9/10)
Clearances Total
1460
Interceptions
711

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Trauco M. (Own goal),
  • 14', Noriega E. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Barcos H. , Ceppelini P. (A),
  • 34', Ceppelini P. , Gaibor F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Quevedo K. , Cantero A. ,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Zenon K. ,
  • 62', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
  • 63', Gaibor F. 🟨,
  • 63', Garces R. 🟨,
  • 64', Lavandeira Hernandez P. 🟨,
  • 64', Saracchi M. 🟨,
  • 75', Saracchi M. , Blanco L. ,
  • 75', Herrera A. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 78', Barcos H. , Paolo Guerrero ,
  • 78', Miguel Merentiel , Gimenez M. ,
  • 78', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 90+1', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Marchesin A. , Brey L. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
  • 1, Rojo M. (Pen),
  • 2, Gaibor F. (Pen),
  • 2, Cavani E. (Pen),
  • 3, Trauco M. (Pen),
  • 3, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Pen),
  • 4, Noriega E. (Pen),
  • 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
  • 5, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Pen),
  • 5, Velasco A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
68.7%
Draw
20.5%
Alianza Lima
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 19.3% 10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 17.8% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.33)
    4.56
    (4.8)
    8.75
    (8.5)
    6.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Alianza Lima have a series of home games.
    • In this match Boca Juniors is certain favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    18.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Boca Juniors 1:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.
    8Flamengo RJInternacional

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, Fox Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    germanyGermanySportdigital+
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 4
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    spainSpainbeIN Sports, LaLiga+
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldDisney+, Pluto TV
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