ADT Tarma vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima
Result
3:0
29/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.56
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
86% (386/451)74% (238/320)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.800.47
Total shots
119
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1914
Through passes
0% (0/2)0% (0/2)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
86% (386/451)74% (238/320)
Long passes
56% (37/66)28% (14/50)
Passes in final third
74% (94/127)58% (41/71)
Crosses
13% (1/8)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.65
Fouls
1710
Tackles
67% (8/12)59% (10/17)
Duels won
3851
Clearances Total
1710
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.472.80
Goals prevented
0.47-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Vidales J. , Narvaez J. (A),
  • 35', Fuentes P. , Robles A. ,
  • 45+2', Soto J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Rojas J. , Cabello C. (A),
  • 54', Cantero A. , Soyer B. ,
  • 58', Succar M. , Guzman V. ,
  • 58', Castillo J. , Aguirre G. ,
  • 62', Narvaez J. 🟨,
  • 66', Grados C. 🟨,
  • 67', Gaibor F. 🟨,
  • 69', 3 - 0, Vidales J. , Cabello C. (A),
  • 72', Vidales J. , Rengifo H. ,
  • 72', Soto J. , Pinto O. ,
  • 76', D'Arrigo J. , Cari P. ,
  • 76', Gaibor F. , Peralta S. ,
  • 86', Cabello C. , Moyano A. ,
  • 86', Barreto G. , Alvino J. ,
  • 86', Amasifuen N. 🟨,
  • 87', Lagos R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
60.6%
Draw
23.5%
Alianza Lima
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 27% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1% 26.7% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+37.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADT Tarma's performance.
  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-37.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+34.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (4.05)
    3.98
    (3.5)
    5.85
    (1.9)
    6.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches ADT won 2.
    • Recent matches ADT is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alianza Lima in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alianza Lima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches ADT won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.8:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams ADT won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma 0:0
    01.03.2024 ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima 2:0
    21.10.2023 Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma 0:0
    02.06.2023 ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima 2:1
    30.10.2022 Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma 2:0
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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