Result
3:0
29/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (386/451) | 74% (238/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (386/451) | 74% (238/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (37/66) | 28% (14/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (94/127) | 58% (41/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.65 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Narvaez J. (A),
- 35', Fuentes P. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 45+2', Soto J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
- 54', Cantero A. ↓, Soyer B. ↑,
- 58', Succar M. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 58', Castillo J. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 62', Narvaez J. 🟨,
- 66', Grados C. 🟨,
- 67', Gaibor F. 🟨,
- 69', 3 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
- 72', Vidales J. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 72', Soto J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 76', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
- 76', Gaibor F. ↓, Peralta S. ↑,
- 86', Cabello C. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
- 86', Barreto G. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
- 86', Amasifuen N. 🟨,
- 87', Lagos R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
60.6% | Draw
23.5% | Alianza Lima
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+37.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADT Tarma's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-37.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+34.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(4.05) |
3.98 ↑
(3.5) |
5.85 ↑
(1.9) |
6.9%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 61.5% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches ADT won 2.
- Recent matches ADT is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Alianza Lima in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Alianza Lima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches ADT won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.8:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams ADT won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Alianza Lima?
ADT Tarma has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against ADT Tarma?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima were as follows:
10.08.2024
Alianza Lima
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
01.03.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Alianza Lima
2:0
21.10.2023
Alianza Lima
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
02.06.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
30.10.2022
Alianza Lima
-
ADT Tarma
2:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 37:12 | 25 | 35 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 33 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26:18 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 27 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Cusco | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 28:23 | 5 | 22 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 20 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
| 13 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Cajamarca | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
| 15 | Binacional | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 |
| 17 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Ayacucho | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 9 |
| 19 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 8 |
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