Alianza Atlético vs Universitario de Deportes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes
Result
0:2
01/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.161.32
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
516
Shots on target
03
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
52% (116/225)75% (341/452)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.161.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.19
Total shots
516
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
830
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
52% (116/225)75% (341/452)
Long passes
29% (25/85)51% (47/92)
Passes in final third
44% (32/73)63% (111/175)
Crosses
23% (3/13)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.46
Throw-ins
1228
Fouls
1115
Tackles
79% (11/14)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4567
Clearances
4924
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.190.00
Goals prevented
-0.810.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', Murrugarra J. , Castillo J. ,
  • 65', Inga C. , Carabali J. ,
  • 65', Flores E. , Rivera J. ,
  • 67', Vasquez C. , Olmedo L. ,
  • 67', Perez J. , Perleche E. ,
  • 69', Castro R. 🟨,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Perez M. ,
  • 73', Perez M. 🟨,
  • 74', Perez M. , Velez J. ,
  • 76', Fernandez S. 🟨,
  • 81', Lupu H. , Flores F. ,
  • 82', Larios Saavedra G. A. , Perez M. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Rivera J. , Concha J. (A),
  • 88', Gordillo A. , Cossio A. ,
  • 88', Valera A. , Diego Churin ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
15.6%
Draw
25.7%
Universitario de Deportes
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 28.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 27% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.
  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Deportes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.87
    (3.75)
    3.66
    (3.32)
    1.63
    (2)
    5.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 50.5%99.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
    • Alianza Atlético is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Uni de Deportes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Uni de Deportes is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Costa G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético 0:1
    15.09.2024 Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes 0:3
    05.04.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético 1:0
    03.07.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético 2:0
    14.05.2023 Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes 3:1
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1183020:81227
    2Cusco1071217:8922
    3Sporting Cristal1054118:51319
    4Deportivo Garcilaso1146114:12218
    5AD Tarma1152412:13-117
    6Alianza Lima1043315:11415
    7Cienciano1043316:13315
    8Sport Huancayo1243522:20215
    9FBC Melgar1135316:13314
    10Grau1042415:13214
    11Comerciantes Unidos1033411:15-412
    12Los Chankas940512:22-1012
    13Juan Pablo II102539:11-211
    14Alianza Atl102446:6010
    15Ayacucho113178:17-910
    16Alianza Huanuco1131712:23-1110
    17Sport Boys112368:15-79
    18Cajamarca101368:14-66
    19Binacional00000:000

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