Alianza Atlético vs Sporting Cristal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal
Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.22
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
65% (126/193)84% (345/412)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.09
Total shots
912
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1616
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
919
Passes
65% (126/193)84% (345/412)
Long passes
38% (22/58)62% (42/68)
Passes in final third
51% (39/76)69% (62/90)
Crosses
33% (5/15)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.86
Fouls
199
Tackles
79% (15/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5267
Clearances Total
2913
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.091.29
Goals prevented
0.090.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Tavara M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pretell J. , Cauteruccio M. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Graneros A. (Pen),
  • 62', Castro M. , Cabellos C. ,
  • 64', Perleche E. 🟨,
  • 68', Avila I. , Sosa M. ,
  • 69', Perleche E. , Cossio A. ,
  • 69', Castro R. , Lupu H. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 79', Fernandez S. , Olmedo L. ,
  • 79', Perez M. , Larios Saavedra G. A. ,
  • 85', Lutiger R. , Sosa L. ,
  • 85', Tavara M. , Alarcon J. ,
  • 85', Benincasa H. , Guzman P. ,
  • 88', Gonzales C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
29.8%
Draw
27.4%
Sporting Cristal
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 28.8% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 29.2% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (3.24)
    3.38
    (3.28)
    2.2
    (2.24)
    7.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1.
    • Alianza Atlético is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Sporting Cristal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alianza Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Vilchez Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Iberico L. (Injury) Pacheco F. (Muscle Injury) Romero F. (Yellow Cards) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Cauteruccio M. (Back Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 9:41 (average 0.6:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:15 (average 0.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    05.05.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 2:1
    29.10.2023 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 3:0
    11.06.2023 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 0:0
    23.10.2022 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 0:2
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1172227:101723
    2FBC Melgar1172220:12823
    3Sporting Cristal1271422:15722
    4Alianza Atl1271418:11722
    5Sport Huancayo1271419:15422
    6Cusco1262423:17620
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1362520:14620
    8Alianza Lima1162313:10320
    9AD Tarma1354422:23-119
    10Sport Boys1144320:19116
    11Los Chankas1236317:17015
    12Cajamarca1242613:23-1014
    13Cienciano1134416:17-113
    14Binacional1133514:19-512
    15Grau1025313:17-411
    16Juan Pablo II1022611:16-58
    17Comerciantes Unidos1115513:21-88
    18Alianza Huanuco1113710:22-126
    19Ayacucho121389:22-136

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