Alianza Atlético vs Cajamarca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca
Result
2:0
11/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Lozano S. (Per)
Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.36
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
73% (209/285)66% (203/309)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.41
Total shots
155
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
73% (209/285)66% (203/309)
Long passes
46% (26/56)32% (24/74)
Passes in final third
64% (69/107)44% (36/81)
Crosses
31% (5/16)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.36
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
1511
Tackles
71% (5/7)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4147
Clearances
1224
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.411.36
Goals prevented
0.41-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Perez J. , Olmedo L. (A),
  • 3', 2 - 0, Espinosa R. , Graneros A. (A),
  • 21', Olmedo L. 🟨,
  • 30', Vasquez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Vega J. , Balanta G. ,
  • 46', Vasquez A. , Cantt J. ,
  • 53', del Castillo J. , Gordillo A. ,
  • 55', Espinosa R. , Perez M. ,
  • 62', Serra P. , Oncoy F. ,
  • 72', Perez J. , Lupu H. ,
  • 72', Graneros A. , Diaz R. ,
  • 73', Olmedo L. , Illanes F. ,
  • 76', Perleche E. 🟨,
  • 84', Mejia C. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 89', Lupu H. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Rosell Delgado J. A. , Palacios B. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
63.4%
Draw
23.2%
Cajamarca
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 22.6% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 22.2% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.56)
    3.6
    (4.14)
    6.18
    (5.31)
    18%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cajamarca (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
    • Recent performances by Alianza Atlético have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alianza Atlético is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Fernandez S. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cajamarca: Garro L. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 0:0
    01.08.2024 Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 1:1
    16.02.2024 Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca 2:0
    14.07.2023 Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 1:1
    12.02.2023 Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca 2:0
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal651014:11316
    2U. de Deportes541010:3713
    3Cusco44008:1712
    4Deportivo Garcilaso63308:3512
    5Alianza Lima63217:5211
    6Sport Huancayo52128:807
    7Alianza Atl51313:306
    8Juan Pablo II61326:8-26
    9Los Chankas42026:10-46
    10AD Tarma52033:7-46
    11Cienciano51226:515
    12Comerciantes Unidos51226:8-25
    13FBC Melgar51223:5-25
    14Binacional51223:5-25
    15Grau51137:10-34
    16Alianza Huanuco51135:8-34
    17Ayacucho51134:7-34
    18Sport Boys61141:7-64
    19Cajamarca50232:6-42

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