Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Haro D. (Per)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (314/394) | 58% (141/242) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (314/394) | 58% (141/242) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 23% (18/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (96/141) | 41% (34/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 100% (11/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Larios Saavedra G. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Olmedo L. ↑,
- 62', Lupu H. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 62', Graneros A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 64', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
- 67', Cabello C. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
- 68', Barreto G. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
- 79', Perez J. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
- 80', Benincasa H. ↓, Quinones Goicochea J. J. ↑,
- 82', Da Luz M. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 82', Narvaez J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 84', Olmedo L. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 0, Soto J. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
- 86', Bazan N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rojas J. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
55.9% | Draw
27.2% | Alianza Atlético
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADT Tarma's performance.Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Atlético might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Atlético could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.79) |
3.32 ↓
(3.7) |
6.05 ↑
(3.55) |
5.7%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, ADT is considered a favorite.
- There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V.
(Knee Injury)
Da Luz M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Lupu H.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Alianza Atlético?
ADT Tarma has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against ADT Tarma?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
04.05.2025
Alianza Atlético
-
ADT Tarma
2:0
28.09.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Alianza Atlético
0:1
28.04.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
ADT Tarma
1:2
24.09.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Alianza Atlético
1:0
06.05.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
ADT Tarma
1:1
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
