Alianza Atlético vs ADT Tarma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma
Result
2:0
04/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Santos C. (Per)
Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.09
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
65% (113/174)83% (332/401)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.24
Total shots
711
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
1218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
810
Passes
65% (113/174)83% (332/401)
Long passes
36% (18/50)57% (40/70)
Passes in final third
55% (35/64)66% (80/121)
Crosses
13% (2/16)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.89
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
108
Tackles
68% (13/19)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4330
Clearances
3114
Interceptions
42
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.241.03
Goals prevented
0.24-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Lupu H. 🟨,
  • 12', Illanes F. 🟥,
  • 22', Cabello C. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Graneros A. , Larios Saavedra G. A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Larios Saavedra G. A. , Castro R. ,
  • 52', Bersano F. 🟨,
  • 62', Cedron V. , Pinto O. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Lupu H. ,
  • 67', Graneros A. 🟨,
  • 72', Olmedo L. , Cossio A. ,
  • 73', Lupu H. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 87', Perleche E. , Guzman P. ,
  • 90+2', Graneros A. , Diaz R. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
44%
Draw
29.7%
ADT Tarma
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 29.3% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 28.3% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.32)
    3.12
    (3.2)
    3.54
    (3.1)
    7.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 1.
    • In recent matches, Alianza Atlético has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • ADT is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Alianza Atlético could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Espinosa R. (Muscle Injury) Vilchez Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in ADT: Desio G. (Knee Injury) Fernandez A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    28.09.2024 ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético 0:1
    28.04.2024 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 1:2
    24.09.2023 ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético 1:0
    06.05.2023 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 1:1
    10.09.2022 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 2:2
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    28.04.2025 ADT Tarma - Cusco 2:1
    20.04.2025 Cajamarca - ADT Tarma 0:1
    05.04.2025 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    29.03.2025 ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima 3:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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