Alexis Galarneau vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Cancun 2 Challenger Men Alexis Galarneau - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Result
2:1
12/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 - Qualification, hard - Final
Alexis Galarneau - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
50%67%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (39/55)58% (42/72)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (30/56)40% (14/35)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)67% (12/18)
1st Return Points Won
42% (30/72)31% (17/55)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (21/35)46% (26/56)
Break Points Converted
33% (6/18)50% (4/8)
Winners
3923
Unforced Errors
6649
Net Points Won
86% (6/7)56% (9/16)
Service Points Won
61% (66/109)52% (56/107)
Return Points Won
48% (51/107)39% (43/109)
Total Points Won
54% (117/216)46% (99/216)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)57% (8/14)
Return Games Won
43% (6/14)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
59% (17/29)41% (12/29)

Chances of winning


Alexis Galarneau
69.6%
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Alexis Galarneau - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.34)

    3.08
    (3)
    7%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Galarneau is ranked ATP: 174. Alvarez Valdes is ranked ATP: 617.
    • Galarneau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alvarez Valdes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Alvarez Valdes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bye
    2Hanfmann Y. (Alt)Struff J-L. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Galan D. E.Buse I. (Alt)0 : 2
    4Zhukayev B. (Q)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5De Jong J. (3)Bye
    6Trungelliti M. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (NG)0 : 2
    7Gaston H.Galarneau A. (Q)0 : 2
    8Hernandez A. (WC)Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    9Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.) (LL)Noguchi R. (Q)0 : 1
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Harper C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Lajovic D. (RET.)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 0
    12ByeCerundolo J. M. (4)
    13Tabilo A. (6)Passaro F.2 : 0
    14Gigante M. (RET.)Tirante T. A. (Alt)0 : 1
    15Pellegrino A.Wong C. (Alt)0 : 2
    16ByeCazaux A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Hanfmann Y.2 : 1
    2Buse I.Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    3De Jong J. (3)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    4Galarneau A.Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    5Noguchi R.Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    6Burruchaga R. A.Cerundolo J. M. (4)1 : 2
    7Tabilo A. (6)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8Wong C.Cazaux A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Buse I.1 : 2
    2De Jong J. (3)Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    3Wawrinka S.Cerundolo J. M. (4)2 : 0
    4Tirante T. A.Cazaux A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I.Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    2Wawrinka S.Tirante T. A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Svrcina D. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1
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