Alexandre Muller vs Matteo Arnaldi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Umag Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
2:0
21/07/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - 1/16-finals
Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
010
Double Faults
16
1st Serve Percentage
58%51%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (29/41)64% (29/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (13/30)51% (22/43)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
36% (16/45)37% (15/41)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (29/43)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)75% (3/4)
Winners
1536
Unforced Errors
1328
Net Points Won
75% (12/16)80% (16/20)
Max Points In Row
78
Service Points Won
59% (42/71)53% (51/96)
Return Points Won
47% (45/96)41% (29/71)
Total Points Won
52% (87/167)48% (80/167)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
35.4%
Matteo Arnaldi
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.35)

    1.48
    (1.59)
    5.1%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is Matteo Arnaldi will win! (6 of 6 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Muller is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arnaldi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Arnaldi will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
    30.05.2024 Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi 0:3
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Bye
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Mikrut L. (WC)2 : 0
    3Shevchenko A.Marozsan F.1 : 2
    4Monteiro T.Machac T. (7)2 : 1
    5Cerundolo F. (4)Bye
    6Couacaud E. (Q)Dodig M. (WC)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (WC)Sonego L.1 : 2
    8Muller A. (Alt)Arnaldi M. (8)2 : 0
    9Darderi L. (5)Ajdukovic D. (SE)2 : 0
    10Mensik J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    11van Assche L.Fognini F.0 : 2
    12ByeTseng C. H. (LL)
    13Navone M. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    14Misolic F. (Q)Lajovic D.1 : 2
    15Trungelliti M. (Q)Andreozzi G. (Q)2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    2Marozsan F.Monteiro T.2 : 0
    3Cerundolo F. (4)Dodig M.2 : 0
    4Sonego L.Muller A.2 : 0
    5Darderi L. (5)Mensik J.0 : 2
    6Fognini F.Tseng C. H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F.Lajovic D.0 : 2
    8Trungelliti M.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    2Cerundolo F. (4)Sonego L.2 : 1
    3Mensik J.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Lajovic D.Musetti L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    2Mensik J.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo F. (4)Musetti L. (2)2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    portugalPortugalSport TV6
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4
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