Daniil Medvedev vs Alexandre Muller: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller
Result
2:1
09/04/2025 at 11:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals
Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
83
1st Serve Percentage
56%57%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (42/58)61% (42/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (19/45)49% (26/53)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
39% (27/69)28% (16/58)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (27/53)58% (26/45)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)67% (4/6)
Winners
2829
Unforced Errors
4747
Net Points Won
75% (12/16)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
59% (61/103)56% (68/122)
Return Points Won
44% (54/122)41% (42/103)
Total Points Won
51% (115/225)49% (110/225)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Daniil Medvedev
64.1%
Alexandre Muller
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.5)

    2.64
    (2.57)
    5.9%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Muller is ranked ATP: 39.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Medvedev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Medvedev will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller were as follows:
    03.07.2024 Alexandre Muller - Daniil Medvedev 1:3
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2
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