Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Vienna Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev
Result
0:2
25/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - Semi-finals
Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
39
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
61%83%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (30/39)83% (40/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)40% (4/10)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
17% (8/48)23% (9/39)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (6/10)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)50% (2/4)
Winners
1712
Unforced Errors
74
Net Points Won
157% (11/7)100% (10/0)
Service Points Won
67% (43/64)76% (44/58)
Return Points Won
24% (14/58)33% (21/64)
Total Points Won
47% (57/122)53% (65/122)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)100% (11/11)
Return Games Won
0% (0/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
48.4%
Alexander Zverev
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.
  • Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Zverev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Musetti that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Zverev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.24)

    1.83
    (1.61)
    5%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev?
    • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Zverev will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 43.1%81.9%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Musetti (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Zverev (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1.5 Games - Musetti (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1 Games - Musetti (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +0.5 Games - Musetti (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH 0 Games - Musetti (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.5 Games - Musetti (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 Games - Musetti (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 Games - Musetti (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -2.5 Games - Musetti (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -3.5 Games - Musetti (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1.5 Sets - Musetti (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 Sets - Musetti (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • H/A, 2nd Set - Musetti (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • H/A, 1st Set - Musetti (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -2.5 Games, 1st Set - Musetti (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 Games, 1st Set - Musetti (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.5 Games, 1st Set - Musetti (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1.5 Games, 1st Set - Musetti (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +2.5 Games - Musetti (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Musetti (votes: 28 - 84.8%). Zverev (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Musetti is ranked ATP: 8. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Musetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev 2:0
    25.10.2024 Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Musetti 1:2
    01.08.2024 Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Musetti 0:2
    Latest results of Alexander Zverev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Altmaier D.2 : 0
    2Machac T.Cobolli F.0 : 2
    3Cerundolo F.Michelsen A.2 : 0
    4Tabilo A.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Rodionov J. (WC)2 : 0
    6Ugo Carabelli C.Misolic F. (WC)0 : 2
    7Popyrin A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.Rublev A. (7)2 : 1
    9Medvedev D. (6)Borges N.2 : 1
    10Dzumhur D. (Q)Moutet C.0 : 2
    11Etcheverry T. M.Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)2 : 0
    12Medjedovic H. (LL)Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (5)Griekspoor T.1 : 2
    14Darderi L.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    15Kovacevic A. (Q)Arnaldi M. (Q)0 : 2
    16Fearnley J. (Q)Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo F.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4Berrettini M.Norrie C.2 : 1
    5Medvedev D. (6)Moutet C.0 : 2
    6Etcheverry T. M.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Griekspoor T.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Arnaldi M.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    3Moutet C.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    4Griekspoor T.Zverev A. (WO.) (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 0
    2Musetti L. (4)Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Zverev A. (2)2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
    czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
    franceFranceEurosport 2
    germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
    polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play
    ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
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