Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Beijing Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev
29/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Quarter-finals
Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Daniil Medvedev
52.9%
Alexander Zverev
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Medvedev's performance.
  • Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Zverev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Medvedev that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Zverev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.13)

    2.01
    (1.6)
    4.7%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev?
  • Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniil Medvedev will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Medvedev is ranked ATP: 18. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev 2:1
    26.01.2024 Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev 3:2
    15.11.2023 Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev 2:0
    03.10.2023 Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev 0:2
    17.08.2023 Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev 2:1
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Latest results of Alexander Zverev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (7)
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (4)
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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