Alexander Bublik vs Roberto Carballes Baena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/04/2024 at 08:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals
Referee: Nour A. (Egy)

Match Stats


Aces
6	0
Double Faults
7	3
1st Serve Percentage
63%	69%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (34/46)	61% (27/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (12/27)	50% (10/20)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)	43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
39% (17/44)	26% (12/46)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (10/20)	56% (15/27)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)	60% (3/5)
Max Points In Row
7	6
Service Points Won
63% (46/73)	58% (37/64)
Return Points Won
42% (27/64)	37% (27/73)
Total Points Won
53% (73/137)	47% (64/137)
Max Games In Row
5	4
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)	64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)	25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
57% (13/23)	43% (10/23)

Chances of winning

Alexander Bublik
32.6%

Roberto Carballes Baena
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bublik's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.45)		1.43 ↓ (1.51)	4.3% (6.9%)

What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena?

The most likely score is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Bublik is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Carballes Baena is a favorite.
Recently, the players did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Roberto Carballes Baena?

Alexander Bublik has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Alexander Bublik?

Roberto Carballes Baena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:

Latest results of Alexander Bublik

07.04.2024 Alexander Bublik - Borna Coric 0:2 ✺

23.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

10.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

08.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Juncheng Shang 2:0 ✺

02.03.2024 Ugo Humbert - Alexander Bublik 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena

25.04.2024 Dominik Koepfer - Roberto Carballes Baena 1:2 ✺

18.04.2024 Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefanos Tsitsipas 0:2 ✺

17.04.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Roberto Carballes Baena 0:2 ✺

16.04.2024 Hugo Grenier - Roberto Carballes Baena 0:2 ✺

07.04.2024 Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Bautista-Agut R.	Munar J.	2 : 1
3	Borges N.	Carreno-Busta P. (WC)	2 : 1
4	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (28)
5	Cerundolo F. (20)	Bye
6	Moutet C. (RET.)	Mayot H. (Q)	0 : 1
7	Comesana F.	Martinez P.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Fils A. (13)
9	Shelton B. (12)	Bye
10	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Navone M.	0 : 2
11	Lajovic D. (Q)	Quinn E. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Mensik J. (22)
13	Popyrin A. (25)	Bye
14	Michelsen A.	Bublik A.	0 : 2
15	Monfils G.	Gojo B. (Q)	2 : 1
16	Bye	Rublev A. (7)
17	Fritz T. (3)	Bye
18	O'Connell C.	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
19	Bonzi B.	Cilic M. (WC)	2 : 0
20	Bye	Hurkacz H. (27)
21	Korda S. (23)	Bye
22	Cina F. (WC)	Wong C. (WC)	2 : 0
23	Safiullin R.	Rinderknech A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Ruud C. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (9)	Bye
26	Fognini F. (Q)	Djere L.	0 : 2
27	Cerundolo J. M. (Q)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
29	Nakashima B. (31)	Bye
30	Ofner S. (PR)	Gaston H. (Q)	2 : 0
31	Marozsan F.	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Rune H. (8)
33	Draper J. (5)	Bye
34	Griekspoor T.	Kopriva V. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Tien L.	Giron M.	1 : 2
36	Bye	Berrettini M. (30)
37	Khachanov K. (24)	Bye
38	Opelka R. (PR)	Hijikata R. (LL)	2 : 0
39	Fonseca J.	Moller E. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Paul T. (11)
41	Tiafoe F. (16)	Bye
42	Halys Q.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
43	Goffin D. (RET.)	Muller A.	1 : 1
44	Bye	Humbert U. (21)
45	Baez S. (32)	Bye
46	Dzumhur D.	Bellucci M.	2 : 1
47	Arnaldi M.	Coric B. (Q)	2 : 1
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	De Minaur A. (6)	Bye
50	Sonego L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 0
51	Vukic A.	Nishikori K.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Shapovalov D. (29)
53	Tsitsipas S. (17)	Bye
54	Van De Zandschulp B. (RET.) (LL)	Struff J-L.	1 : 1
55	Etcheverry T. M.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 1
56	Bye	Musetti L. (10)
57	Dimitrov G. (15)	Bye
58	Altmaier D. (Q)	Jarry N.	0 : 2
59	Bu Y.	Fearnley J. (Q)	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (19)
61	Lehecka J. (26)	Bye
62	Landaluce M. (WC)	Norrie C.	1 : 2
63	Bergs Z.	Diallo G. (LL)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Majchrzak K. (LL)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 0
2	Borges N.	Davidovich Fokina A. (28)	0 : 2
3	Cerundolo F. (20)	Mayot H.	2 : 0
4	Comesana F.	Fils A. (13)	2 : 0
5	Shelton B. (12)	Navone M.	2 : 1
6	Quinn E.	Mensik J. (22)	0 : 2
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Bublik A.	0 : 2
8	Monfils G.	Rublev A. (WO.) (7)
9	Fritz T. (3)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
10	Bonzi B.	Hurkacz H. (27)	2 : 0
11	Korda S. (23)	Cina F.	2 : 1
12	Rinderknech A.	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (WO.) (9)	Djere L.
14	Cerundolo J. M.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 0
15	Nakashima B. (31)	Ofner S.	2 : 0
16	Cobolli F.	Rune H. (RET.) (8)	1 : 0
17	Draper J. (5)	Griekspoor T.	2 : 0
18	Giron M.	Berrettini M. (30)	1 : 2
19	Khachanov K. (24)	Opelka R.	2 : 0
20	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (11)	0 : 2
21	Tiafoe F. (16)	Darderi L. (RET.)	1 : 0
22	Muller A.	Humbert U. (21)	2 : 1
23	Baez S. (32)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 2
24	Arnaldi M.	Djokovic N. (4)	2 : 0
25	De Minaur A. (6)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
26	Nishikori K.	Shapovalov D. (29)	0 : 2
27	Tsitsipas S. (17)	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
28	Etcheverry T. M.	Musetti L. (10)	0 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (15)	Jarry N.	2 : 0
30	Fearnley J.	Machac T. (19)	2 : 1
31	Lehecka J. (26)	Norrie C.	1 : 2
32	Diallo G. (LL)	Majchrzak K. (LL)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Davidovich Fokina A. (28)	2 : 1
2	Cerundolo F. (20)	Comesana F.	2 : 0
3	Shelton B. (12)	Mensik J. (22)	0 : 2
4	Bublik A.	Rublev A. (7)	2 : 1
5	Fritz T. (3)	Bonzi B. (RET.)	1 : 1
6	Korda S. (23)	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 0
8	Nakashima B. (31)	Cobolli F.	2 : 0
9	Draper J. (5)	Berrettini M. (RET.) (30)	1 : 0
10	Khachanov K. (24)	Paul T. (11)	1 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (16)	Muller A.	2 : 0
12	Dzumhur D.	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (6)	Shapovalov D. (29)	2 : 0
14	Tsitsipas S. (17)	Musetti L. (10)	0 : 2
15	Dimitrov G. (15)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
16	Norrie C.	Diallo G.	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Cerundolo F. (20)	0 : 2
2	Mensik J. (22)	Bublik A.	2 : 0
3	Fritz T. (3)	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	Nakashima B. (31)	2 : 1
5	Draper J. (5)	Paul T. (11)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (16)	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
7	De Minaur A. (6)	Musetti L. (10)	0 : 2
8	Dimitrov G. (15)	Diallo G.	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Cerundolo F. (20)	Mensik J. (22)	2 : 1
2	Ruud C. (14)	Medvedev D. (9)	2 : 0
3	Draper J. (5)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Musetti L. (10)	Diallo G.	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Cerundolo F. (20)	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
2	Draper J. (5)	Musetti L. (10)	2 : 0

Final

1

Ruud C. (14)

Draper J. (5)

2 : 1

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