Alexander Bublik vs Roberto Carballes Baena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena - Gamble Responsibly 18+

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Result
2:1

When is the event taking place?

It is scheduled for 27/04/2024 at 08:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Do you have any additional information?

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals
Referee: Nour A. (Egy)

What is the Match Stats?


Aces
6	0
Double Faults
7	3
1st Serve Percentage
63%	69%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (34/46)	61% (27/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (12/27)	50% (10/20)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)	43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
39% (17/44)	26% (12/46)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (10/20)	56% (15/27)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)	60% (3/5)
Max Points In Row
7	6
Service Points Won
63% (46/73)	58% (37/64)
Return Points Won
42% (27/64)	37% (27/73)
Total Points Won
53% (73/137)	47% (64/137)
Max Games In Row
5	4
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)	64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)	25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
57% (13/23)	43% (10/23)

What is the Probability of Winning?

Alexander Bublik 32.6%

Roberto Carballes Baena 67.4%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Alexander Bublik 38.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena 61.8%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Alexander Bublik 36.8%

Roberto Carballes Baena 63.2%

What is the Odds of Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena?

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.45)		1.43 ↓ (1.51)	6.9% (4.3%)

What is the prediction for the Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena?

The most likely score prediction is 0:2.

Do you have any preview information?

Bublik is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Carballes Baena is a favorite.
Recently, the players did not play each other.

Who is the favorite in this match?

Roberto Carballes Baena is the certain favorite in this match.

What were the latest results of Alexander Bublik in their previous matches?

The latest results are as follows:

07.04.2024 Alexander Bublik - Borna Coric 0:2 ✺

23.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

10.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

08.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Juncheng Shang 2:0 ✺

02.03.2024 Ugo Humbert - Alexander Bublik 2:0 ✺

What were the latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena in their previous matches?

The latest results are as follows:

25.04.2024 Dominik Koepfer - Roberto Carballes Baena 1:2 ✺

18.04.2024 Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefanos Tsitsipas 0:2 ✺

17.04.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Roberto Carballes Baena 0:2 ✺

16.04.2024 Hugo Grenier - Roberto Carballes Baena 0:2 ✺

07.04.2024 Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bye
2	Gasquet R. (Q)	Sonego L.	0 : 2
3	Ramos A. (Q)	Kotov P.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Thompson J. (32)
5	Jarry N. (22)	Bye
6	Tabilo A.	Cobolli F.	1 : 2
7	Galan D. E.	Bautista-Agut R. (LL)	1 : 2
8	Bye	Khachanov K. (16)
9	Dimitrov G. (9)	Bye
10	Hanfmann Y.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Auger-Aliassime F.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Mannarino A. (19)
13	Norrie C. (29)	Bye
14	Michelsen A.	Fonseca J. (WC)	1 : 2
15	Zhang Z.	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Ruud C. (5)
17	Medvedev D. (3)	Bye
18	O'Connell C.	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
19	Purcell M.	Giron M.	2 : 1
20	Bye	Korda S. (25)
21	Bublik A. (17)	Bye
22	Koepfer D.	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 2
23	Machac T.	Ruusuvuori E.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Shelton B. (14)
25	De Minaur A. (10)	Bye
26	Blanch Dar. (WC)	Nadal R. (PR)	0 : 2
27	Cachin P.	Ofner S.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Tiafoe F. (20)
29	Lehecka J. (30)	Bye
30	Kovacevic A. (Q)	Medjedovic H. (Q)	1 : 2
31	Lajovic D.	Monteiro T. (Q)	0 : 2
32	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (6)
33	Hurkacz H. (8)	Bye
34	Kokkinakis T. (Q)	Draper J.	1 : 2
35	Altmaier D.	Landaluce M. (WC)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Fils A. (31)
37	Baez S. (18)	Bye
38	van Assche L.	Bergs Z. (WC)	2 : 1
39	Darderi L.	Monfils G.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Fritz T. (12)
41	Paul T. (15)	Bye
42	Klein L. (Q)	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	2 : 1
43	Karatsev A.	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Cerundolo F. (21)
45	Etcheverry T. M. (26)	Bye
46	Diaz Acosta F.	Shapovalov D. (PR)	1 : 2
47	Coric B.	Hassan B. (Q)	2 : 1
48	Bye	Zverev A. (4)
49	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
50	Nakashima B. (Q)	Bagnis F. (Q)	0 : 2
51	Moutet C. (Q)	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
52	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (27)
53	Griekspoor T. (24)	Bye
54	Vukic A.	Daniel T.	1 : 2
55	Navone M.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Rune H. (11)
57	Humbert U. (13)	Bye
58	Van De Zandschulp B.	Eubanks C.	2 : 0
59	Munar J.	Borges N.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Struff J-L. (23)
61	Musetti L. (28)	Bye
62	Safiullin R.	Seyboth Wild T.	0 : 2
63	Rinderknech A.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
2	Kotov P.	Thompson J. (32)	2 : 1
3	Jarry N. (22)	Cobolli F.	1 : 2
4	Bautista-Agut R.	Khachanov K. (16)	1 : 2
5	Dimitrov G. (9)	Mensik J.	1 : 2
6	Auger-Aliassime F.	Mannarino A. (19)	2 : 0
7	Norrie C. (29)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
8	Kecmanovic M.	Ruud C. (5)	0 : 2
9	Medvedev D. (3)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 1
10	Purcell M.	Korda S. (25)	0 : 2
11	Bublik A. (17)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 1
12	Machac T.	Shelton B. (14)	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (10)	Nadal R.	0 : 2
14	Cachin P.	Tiafoe F. (20)	2 : 1
15	Lehecka J. (30)	Medjedovic H.	2 : 0
16	Monteiro T.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	2 : 0
17	Hurkacz H. (8)	Draper J.	2 : 0
18	Altmaier D.	Fils A. (31)	2 : 0
19	Baez S. (18)	van Assche L.	2 : 1
20	Darderi L.	Fritz T. (12)	0 : 2
21	Paul T. (15)	Klein L.	2 : 1
22	Marozsan F.	Cerundolo F. (21)	0 : 2
23	Etcheverry T. M. (26)	Shapovalov D.	0 : 2
24	Coric B.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Rublev A. (7)	Bagnis F.	2 : 0
26	Shang J.	Davidovich Fokina A. (27)	0 : 2
27	Griekspoor T. (24)	Daniel T.	2 : 1
28	Navone M.	Rune H. (11)	1 : 2
29	Humbert U. (13)	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 0
30	Munar J.	Struff J-L. (23)	0 : 2
31	Musetti L. (28)	Seyboth Wild T.	0 : 2
32	Shevchenko A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kotov P.	2 : 0
2	Cobolli F.	Khachanov K. (16)	0 : 2
3	Mensik J. (RET.)	Auger-Aliassime F.	0 : 1
4	Norrie C. (29)	Ruud C. (5)	0 : 2
5	Medvedev D. (3)	Korda S. (25)	2 : 1
6	Bublik A. (17)	Shelton B. (14)	2 : 1
7	Nadal R.	Cachin P.	2 : 1
8	Lehecka J. (30)	Monteiro T.	2 : 0
9	Hurkacz H. (8)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
10	Baez S. (18)	Fritz T. (12)	0 : 2
11	Paul T. (15)	Cerundolo F. (21)	1 : 2
12	Shapovalov D.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rublev A. (7)	Davidovich Fokina A. (27)	2 : 0
14	Griekspoor T. (24)	Rune H. (11)	2 : 1
15	Humbert U. (13)	Struff J-L. (23)	0 : 2
16	Seyboth Wild T.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Khachanov K. (16)	2 : 1
2	Auger-Aliassime F.	Ruud C. (5)	2 : 0
3	Medvedev D. (3)	Bublik A. (17)	2 : 0
4	Nadal R.	Lehecka J. (30)	0 : 2
5	Hurkacz H. (8)	Fritz T. (12)	0 : 2
6	Cerundolo F. (21)	Zverev A. (4)	2 : 0
7	Rublev A. (7)	Griekspoor T. (24)	2 : 0
8	Struff J-L. (23)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (WO.)
2	Medvedev D. (RET.) (3)	Lehecka J. (30)	0 : 1
3	Fritz T. (12)	Cerundolo F. (21)	2 : 1
4	Rublev A. (7)	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Auger-Aliassime F.	Lehecka J. (RET.) (30)	0 : 0
2	Fritz T. (12)	Rublev A. (7)	0 : 2

Final

Auger-Aliassime F.

Rublev A. (7)

1 : 2